The S&P 500 closed at 7,656.98 on September 11, 2026, after trading near its August peak of 7,816.70 amid mixed performance this month. Primary drivers include the Federal Reserve’s policy path under Chair Kevin Warsh, with the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% and futures pricing an elevated probability of a September 16 hike following hotter-than-expected August core CPI (0.3% monthly rise) and resilient labor data. Persistent inflation above the 2% target, energy price pressures, and the upcoming Summary of Economic Projections will shape year-end rate expectations, while corporate earnings growth—particularly in AI-exposed sectors—supports valuations near 25 times forward earnings. Key near-term catalysts include the FOMC decision, retail sales, and PCE releases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$355,047 交易量
2026-12-31
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ 9,300美元
4%
↑ $9,000
42%
↑ 8,600美元
11%
↑ 8,200美元
27%
↑ $8,000
47%
↓ $7,400
73%
↓ $7,200
48%
↓ $7,000
33%
↓ 6,200美元
26%
↓ $6,000
14%
↓ 5,800
9%
↓ 5,200
8%
↓ 4,500美元
4%
$355,047 交易量
↑ $10,000
$425 交易量
3%
↑ 9,300美元
$10,026 交易量
4%
↑ $9,000
$138 交易量
42%
↑ 8,600美元
$31,740 交易量
11%
↑ 8,200美元
$23,856 交易量
27%
↑ $8,000
$571 交易量
47%
↓ $7,400
$15 交易量
73%
↓ $7,200
$159 交易量
48%
↓ $7,000
$1,090 交易量
33%
↓ 6,200美元
$57,316 交易量
26%
↓ $6,000
$4,170 交易量
14%
↓ 5,800
$42,734 交易量
9%
↓ 5,200
$62,331 交易量
8%
↓ 4,500美元
$60,426 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 closed at 7,656.98 on September 11, 2026, after trading near its August peak of 7,816.70 amid mixed performance this month. Primary drivers include the Federal Reserve’s policy path under Chair Kevin Warsh, with the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% and futures pricing an elevated probability of a September 16 hike following hotter-than-expected August core CPI (0.3% monthly rise) and resilient labor data. Persistent inflation above the 2% target, energy price pressures, and the upcoming Summary of Economic Projections will shape year-end rate expectations, while corporate earnings growth—particularly in AI-exposed sectors—supports valuations near 25 times forward earnings. Key near-term catalysts include the FOMC decision, retail sales, and PCE releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
交易量
$355,047结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 closed at 7,656.98 on September 11, 2026, after trading near its August peak of 7,816.70 amid mixed performance this month. Primary drivers include the Federal Reserve’s policy path under Chair Kevin Warsh, with the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% and futures pricing an elevated probability of a September 16 hike following hotter-than-expected August core CPI (0.3% monthly rise) and resilient labor data. Persistent inflation above the 2% target, energy price pressures, and the upcoming Summary of Economic Projections will shape year-end rate expectations, while corporate earnings growth—particularly in AI-exposed sectors—supports valuations near 25 times forward earnings. Key near-term catalysts include the FOMC decision, retail sales, and PCE releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
交易量
$355,047结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThe S&P 500 closed at 7,656.98 on September 11, 2026, after trading near its August peak of 7,816.70 amid mixed performance this month. Primary drivers include the Federal Reserve’s policy path under Chair Kevin Warsh, with the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% and futures pricing an elevated probability of a September 16 hike following hotter-than-expected August core CPI (0.3% monthly rise) and resilient labor data. Persistent inflation above the 2% target, energy price pressures, and the upcoming Summary of Economic Projections will shape year-end rate expectations, while corporate earnings growth—particularly in AI-exposed sectors—supports valuations near 25 times forward earnings. Key near-term catalysts include the FOMC decision, retail sales, and PCE releases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题