The S&P 500 trades near 7,650 amid mixed September performance, with strong corporate earnings momentum—particularly AI-driven capex supporting 24-35% EPS growth projections for 2026—offset by the Federal Reserve’s recent 25-basis-point rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range and 10-year Treasury yields near 5%. Elevated oil prices above $98 per barrel add inflation pressure, prompting some Wall Street firms to trim year-end targets to the 7,700-7,900 zone while others hold 8,000-plus forecasts. Trader focus centers on upcoming economic releases, including PMI data and employment reports, that could clarify whether earnings resilience sustains index levels near or above 8,000 by December amid tighter monetary policy.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$372,830 交易量
2026-12-31
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ 9,300美元
5%
↑ $9,000
11%
↑ 8,600美元
9%
↑ 8,200美元
27%
↑ $8,000
47%
↓ $7,400
66%
↓ $7,200
43%
↓ $7,000
25%
↓ 6,200美元
12%
↓ $6,000
9%
↓ 5,800
7%
↓ 5,200
4%
↓ 4,500美元
4%
$372,830 交易量
↑ $10,000
$446 交易量
3%
↑ 9,300美元
$10,126 交易量
5%
↑ $9,000
$138 交易量
11%
↑ 8,600美元
$31,871 交易量
9%
↑ 8,200美元
$23,939 交易量
27%
↑ $8,000
$583 交易量
47%
↓ $7,400
$81 交易量
66%
↓ $7,200
$415 交易量
43%
↓ $7,000
$2,128 交易量
25%
↓ 6,200美元
$60,771 交易量
12%
↓ $6,000
$4,961 交易量
9%
↓ 5,800
$44,511 交易量
7%
↓ 5,200
$70,295 交易量
4%
↓ 4,500美元
$62,517 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 trades near 7,650 amid mixed September performance, with strong corporate earnings momentum—particularly AI-driven capex supporting 24-35% EPS growth projections for 2026—offset by the Federal Reserve’s recent 25-basis-point rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range and 10-year Treasury yields near 5%. Elevated oil prices above $98 per barrel add inflation pressure, prompting some Wall Street firms to trim year-end targets to the 7,700-7,900 zone while others hold 8,000-plus forecasts. Trader focus centers on upcoming economic releases, including PMI data and employment reports, that could clarify whether earnings resilience sustains index levels near or above 8,000 by December amid tighter monetary policy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
交易量
$372,830结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 trades near 7,650 amid mixed September performance, with strong corporate earnings momentum—particularly AI-driven capex supporting 24-35% EPS growth projections for 2026—offset by the Federal Reserve’s recent 25-basis-point rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range and 10-year Treasury yields near 5%. Elevated oil prices above $98 per barrel add inflation pressure, prompting some Wall Street firms to trim year-end targets to the 7,700-7,900 zone while others hold 8,000-plus forecasts. Trader focus centers on upcoming economic releases, including PMI data and employment reports, that could clarify whether earnings resilience sustains index levels near or above 8,000 by December amid tighter monetary policy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
交易量
$372,830结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThe S&P 500 trades near 7,650 amid mixed September performance, with strong corporate earnings momentum—particularly AI-driven capex supporting 24-35% EPS growth projections for 2026—offset by the Federal Reserve’s recent 25-basis-point rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range and 10-year Treasury yields near 5%. Elevated oil prices above $98 per barrel add inflation pressure, prompting some Wall Street firms to trim year-end targets to the 7,700-7,900 zone while others hold 8,000-plus forecasts. Trader focus centers on upcoming economic releases, including PMI data and employment reports, that could clarify whether earnings resilience sustains index levels near or above 8,000 by December amid tighter monetary policy.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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