Trader consensus heavily favors a >$10 million opening weekend for A24's The Drama at 89% implied probability, propelled by robust presales and tracking estimates clustering in the mid-teens—such as $17.6 million per industry analyst Todd Thatcher—fueled by Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's combined star power, echoing Challengers' $15 million debut. Recent catalysts include strong early buzz from the February trailer and reports of overperformance versus comps like Materialists ($11.3 million open), alongside A24's loyal adult audience seeking counterprogramming to family hits like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie. First reviews lifted in the past 24 hours paint a divisive picture—critics hail its tart anti-romcom edge while others decry it as juvenile—potentially sparking word-of-mouth ahead of Thursday previews and Friday wide release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office
"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office
>10m 89%
9-10m 5.4%
8-9m 3.1%
7-8m 2.5%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
<7m
2%
7-8m
3%
8-9m
3%
9-10m
5%
>10m
89%
>10m 89%
9-10m 5.4%
8-9m 3.1%
7-8m 2.5%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
<7m
$1,436 交易量
2%
7-8m
$644 交易量
3%
8-9m
$707 交易量
3%
9-10m
$702 交易量
5%
>10m
$3,601 交易量
89%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus heavily favors a >$10 million opening weekend for A24's The Drama at 89% implied probability, propelled by robust presales and tracking estimates clustering in the mid-teens—such as $17.6 million per industry analyst Todd Thatcher—fueled by Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's combined star power, echoing Challengers' $15 million debut. Recent catalysts include strong early buzz from the February trailer and reports of overperformance versus comps like Materialists ($11.3 million open), alongside A24's loyal adult audience seeking counterprogramming to family hits like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie. First reviews lifted in the past 24 hours paint a divisive picture—critics hail its tart anti-romcom edge while others decry it as juvenile—potentially sparking word-of-mouth ahead of Thursday previews and Friday wide release.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Mar 30, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
交易量
$7,090结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus heavily favors a >$10 million opening weekend for A24's The Drama at 89% implied probability, propelled by robust presales and tracking estimates clustering in the mid-teens—such as $17.6 million per industry analyst Todd Thatcher—fueled by Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's combined star power, echoing Challengers' $15 million debut. Recent catalysts include strong early buzz from the February trailer and reports of overperformance versus comps like Materialists ($11.3 million open), alongside A24's loyal adult audience seeking counterprogramming to family hits like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie. First reviews lifted in the past 24 hours paint a divisive picture—critics hail its tart anti-romcom edge while others decry it as juvenile—potentially sparking word-of-mouth ahead of Thursday previews and Friday wide release.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$7,090结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a >$10 million opening weekend for A24's The Drama at 89% implied probability, propelled by robust presales and tracking estimates clustering in the mid-teens—such as $17.6 million per industry analyst Todd Thatcher—fueled by Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's combined star power, echoing Challengers' $15 million debut. Recent catalysts include strong early buzz from the February trailer and reports of overperformance versus comps like Materialists ($11.3 million open), alongside A24's loyal adult audience seeking counterprogramming to family hits like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie. First reviews lifted in the past 24 hours paint a divisive picture—critics hail its tart anti-romcom edge while others decry it as juvenile—potentially sparking word-of-mouth ahead of Thursday previews and Friday wide release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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