Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to an increase in President Trump's approval rating this week, driven by the absence of major new negative catalysts such as escalated military developments in the Iran conflict or sharp economic data releases that have weighed on recent polling averages. Ongoing factors including foreign policy handling and inflation concerns have contributed to broader second-term lows near 37 percent in multiple surveys, yet the market pricing indicates expectations of stabilization or modest weekly gains absent fresh adverse events. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unexpected court rulings, diplomatic breakthroughs, or late-week polling releases that capture shifts in partisan support or independent voter sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Up
$5,690 交易量
$5,690 交易量
2026-05-22
Up
$5,690 交易量
$5,690 交易量
2026-05-22
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 22, 2026, than on May 15, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 15, 2026, than on May 22, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to an increase in President Trump's approval rating this week, driven by the absence of major new negative catalysts such as escalated military developments in the Iran conflict or sharp economic data releases that have weighed on recent polling averages. Ongoing factors including foreign policy handling and inflation concerns have contributed to broader second-term lows near 37 percent in multiple surveys, yet the market pricing indicates expectations of stabilization or modest weekly gains absent fresh adverse events. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unexpected court rulings, diplomatic breakthroughs, or late-week polling releases that capture shifts in partisan support or independent voter sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 22, 2026, than on May 15, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 15, 2026, than on May 22, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 15, 2026, than on May 22, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
交易量
$5,690结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Up
无争议
最终结果: Up
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 22, 2026, than on May 15, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 15, 2026, than on May 22, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to an increase in President Trump's approval rating this week, driven by the absence of major new negative catalysts such as escalated military developments in the Iran conflict or sharp economic data releases that have weighed on recent polling averages. Ongoing factors including foreign policy handling and inflation concerns have contributed to broader second-term lows near 37 percent in multiple surveys, yet the market pricing indicates expectations of stabilization or modest weekly gains absent fresh adverse events. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unexpected court rulings, diplomatic breakthroughs, or late-week polling releases that capture shifts in partisan support or independent voter sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 22, 2026, than on May 15, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 15, 2026, than on May 22, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on May 15, 2026, than on May 22, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$5,690结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Up
无争议
最终结果: Up
Trader consensus assigns near-certainty to an increase in President Trump's approval rating this week, driven by the absence of major new negative catalysts such as escalated military developments in the Iran conflict or sharp economic data releases that have weighed on recent polling averages. Ongoing factors including foreign policy handling and inflation concerns have contributed to broader second-term lows near 37 percent in multiple surveys, yet the market pricing indicates expectations of stabilization or modest weekly gains absent fresh adverse events. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unexpected court rulings, diplomatic breakthroughs, or late-week polling releases that capture shifts in partisan support or independent voter sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题