Tesla's recent surge above $360, fueled by Nevada robotaxi permit approvals, Semi truck launch momentum, and accelerated autonomous vehicle expansion plans, anchors trader expectations for the August 28 close amid broad uncertainty. With implied probabilities clustered near 49% across $345–$385 bins, markets reflect balanced views on whether momentum sustains or profit-taking and broader equity volatility intervene before week-end. Key differentiators include ongoing EV demand trends, margin pressures from competition, and any incremental regulatory or production updates, as the next earnings catalyst lies in October. Aggregated real-money bets price in these near-term swings without assuming directional certainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于<$340 50%
$345-$350 50%
$365-$370 50%
$370-$375 50%
<$340
50%
$340-$345
47%
$345-$350
50%
$350-$355
49%
$355-$360
49%
$360-$365
48%
$365-$370
50%
$370-$375
50%
$375-$380
50%
$380-$385
50%
>$385
50%
<$340 50%
$345-$350 50%
$365-$370 50%
$370-$375 50%
<$340
50%
$340-$345
47%
$345-$350
50%
$350-$355
49%
$355-$360
49%
$360-$365
48%
$365-$370
50%
$370-$375
50%
$375-$380
50%
$380-$385
50%
>$385
50%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
市场开放时间: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Tesla's recent surge above $360, fueled by Nevada robotaxi permit approvals, Semi truck launch momentum, and accelerated autonomous vehicle expansion plans, anchors trader expectations for the August 28 close amid broad uncertainty. With implied probabilities clustered near 49% across $345–$385 bins, markets reflect balanced views on whether momentum sustains or profit-taking and broader equity volatility intervene before week-end. Key differentiators include ongoing EV demand trends, margin pressures from competition, and any incremental regulatory or production updates, as the next earnings catalyst lies in October. Aggregated real-money bets price in these near-term swings without assuming directional certainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题