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经济·住房

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?

Market icon
经济·住房

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?

<1.154m 45%

1.154 - 1.172m 45%

1.172 - 1.19m 45%

1.19 - 1.208m 45%

Polymarket
最新

<1.154m 45%

1.154 - 1.172m 45%

1.172 - 1.19m 45%

1.19 - 1.208m 45%

Polymarket
最新

<1.154m

$0 交易量

45%

1.154 - 1.172m

$0 交易量

45%

1.172 - 1.19m

$0 交易量

45%

1.19 - 1.208m

$0 交易量

45%

1.208 - 1.226m

$0 交易量

45%

1.226 - 1.244m

$0 交易量

45%

1.244 - 1.262m

$0 交易量

45%

>1.262m

$0 交易量

45%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)Polymarket traders price evenly distributed implied probabilities across San Francisco metro median home value bins from below $1.154 million to above $1.262 million, signaling deep uncertainty just weeks from April 30 resolution based on Parcl data. February's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) for the San Francisco–Oakland–Berkeley metro stood at $1.114 million, up 0.6% month-over-month but down 2% year-over-year, amid low stale inventory (under 25% regionally) fueling 7.7% year-over-year median sale price gains to $1.5 million in San Francisco proper per Redfin. Countervailing pressures include softer Santa Clara County pricing (-3.5% YoY) and persistent 6%+ mortgage rates curbing broader demand; key swing factors are March sales momentum and tech sector hiring ahead of May ZHVI release.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)Polymarket traders price evenly distributed implied probabilities across San Francisco metro median home value bins from below $1.154 million to above $1.262 million, signaling deep uncertainty just weeks from April 30 resolution based on Parcl data. February's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) for the San Francisco–Oakland–Berkeley metro stood at $1.114 million, up 0.6% month-over-month but down 2% year-over-year, amid low stale inventory (under 25% regionally) fueling 7.7% year-over-year median sale price gains to $1.5 million in San Francisco proper per Redfin. Countervailing pressures include softer Santa Clara County pricing (-3.5% YoY) and persistent 6%+ mortgage rates curbing broader demand; key swing factors are March sales momentum and tech sector hiring ahead of May ZHVI release.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"<1.154m"，概率为 45%，其次是"1.154 - 1.172m"，概率为 45%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 45¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 45%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Mar 30, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?"的当前领先者是"<1.154m"，概率为 45%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 45%。紧随其后的结果是"1.154 - 1.172m"，概率为 45%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。