Polymarket traders price a razor-thin contest for DC Metro median home value on April 30, with 555-558k (48.5%) narrowly leading 558-561k (48.0%) and adjacent bins within 46.5%, signaling deep uncertainty over modest appreciation amid balanced forces. March 2026 updates reveal February inventory surging 18% year-over-year to temper price momentum, offsetting 2.2% gains in contract activity and steady demand from the stable federal workforce. Easing 30-year mortgage rates around 6.1% support buyer participation, yet forecasts of 0.7-1% softening highlight inventory pressure as the key swing factor versus potential spring seasonal lift. Resolution awaits the late-April Parcl daily index print.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于<549k 48%
561 - 564k 46%
>567k 46%
549 - 552k 45%
<549k
48%
549 - 552k
45%
552 - 555k
45%
555 - 558k
44%
558 - 561k
44%
561 - 564k
46%
564 - 567k
44%
>567k
46%
<549k 48%
561 - 564k 46%
>567k 46%
549 - 552k 45%
<549k
48%
549 - 552k
45%
552 - 555k
45%
555 - 558k
44%
558 - 561k
44%
561 - 564k
46%
564 - 567k
44%
>567k
46%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/29)
市场开放时间: Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/29)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a razor-thin contest for DC Metro median home value on April 30, with 555-558k (48.5%) narrowly leading 558-561k (48.0%) and adjacent bins within 46.5%, signaling deep uncertainty over modest appreciation amid balanced forces. March 2026 updates reveal February inventory surging 18% year-over-year to temper price momentum, offsetting 2.2% gains in contract activity and steady demand from the stable federal workforce. Easing 30-year mortgage rates around 6.1% support buyer participation, yet forecasts of 0.7-1% softening highlight inventory pressure as the key swing factor versus potential spring seasonal lift. Resolution awaits the late-April Parcl daily index print.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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