Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint screenings on April 3—Good Friday—with a 96.9% implied probability, driven by post-spring break normalization after March peaks topped out at 2.87 million on March 22. Recent daily volumes, including 2.53 million on March 30 and averages around 2.57 million through late March, reflect stabilized travel amid resolved government shutdown staffing woes that had inflated lines but not throughput. Weekday trends hover in the 2.4-2.7 million range, far below holiday records exceeding 3 million. Realistic upsets could stem from an unexpected Easter weekend surge starting early, favorable weather spurring last-minute trips, or airline capacity boosts, though current momentum suggests subdued holiday positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Number of TSA Passengers April 3?
Number of TSA Passengers April 3?
<3.0M 96.8%
3.0M-3.2M 5%
3.4M-3.6M <1%
3.2M-3.4M <1%
最新
最新
2026-04-03
<3.0M
97%
3.0M-3.2M
5%
3.2M-3.4M
<1%
3.4M-3.6M
<1%
3.6M-3.8M
<1%
>3.8M
<1%
<3.0M 96.8%
3.0M-3.2M 5%
3.4M-3.6M <1%
3.2M-3.4M <1%
最新
最新
2026-04-03
<3.0M
$121 交易量
97%
3.0M-3.2M
$20 交易量
5%
3.2M-3.4M
$424 交易量
<1%
3.4M-3.6M
$344 交易量
<1%
3.6M-3.8M
$373 交易量
<1%
>3.8M
$567 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint screenings on April 3—Good Friday—with a 96.9% implied probability, driven by post-spring break normalization after March peaks topped out at 2.87 million on March 22. Recent daily volumes, including 2.53 million on March 30 and averages around 2.57 million through late March, reflect stabilized travel amid resolved government shutdown staffing woes that had inflated lines but not throughput. Weekday trends hover in the 2.4-2.7 million range, far below holiday records exceeding 3 million. Realistic upsets could stem from an unexpected Easter weekend surge starting early, favorable weather spurring last-minute trips, or airline capacity boosts, though current momentum suggests subdued holiday positioning.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
市场开放时间： Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
交易量
$1,850结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ETThis market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint screenings on April 3—Good Friday—with a 96.9% implied probability, driven by post-spring break normalization after March peaks topped out at 2.87 million on March 22. Recent daily volumes, including 2.53 million on March 30 and averages around 2.57 million through late March, reflect stabilized travel amid resolved government shutdown staffing woes that had inflated lines but not throughput. Weekday trends hover in the 2.4-2.7 million range, far below holiday records exceeding 3 million. Realistic upsets could stem from an unexpected Easter weekend surge starting early, favorable weather spurring last-minute trips, or airline capacity boosts, though current momentum suggests subdued holiday positioning.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 3, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
交易量
$1,850结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 6:11 PM ETTrader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint screenings on April 3—Good Friday—with a 96.9% implied probability, driven by post-spring break normalization after March peaks topped out at 2.87 million on March 22. Recent daily volumes, including 2.53 million on March 30 and averages around 2.57 million through late March, reflect stabilized travel amid resolved government shutdown staffing woes that had inflated lines but not throughput. Weekday trends hover in the 2.4-2.7 million range, far below holiday records exceeding 3 million. Realistic upsets could stem from an unexpected Easter weekend surge starting early, favorable weather spurring last-minute trips, or airline capacity boosts, though current momentum suggests subdued holiday positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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