Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty for US flight delays on March 30, pitting a below-5,000 outcome (41.5%) against over-8,000 (40.0%), with mid-range buckets clustered around 31-32%. Recent severe East Coast storms through mid-March triggered record disruptions—over 12,500 delays and cancellations on March 16 alone—fueled by thunderstorms and high winds, compounded by spring break travel surges, TSA staffing shortages, and Newark tower evacuations. The FAA's March 27 report flags potential high winds at New York and Philadelphia hubs, plus thunderstorms in Chicago, keeping high-delay risks alive amid elevated volumes. Mid-ranges lag as traders bet on extremes: normalization if weather clears, or escalation from new systems or ground stops. Fresh FAA advisories or refined forecasts could tip odds sharply.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于<5,000 42%
>8,000 40%
5,000-5,500 33%
5,500-6,000 32%
NEW
NEW
Mar 30, 2026
<5,000
42%
5,000-5,500
33%
5,500-6,000
32%
6,000-6,500
32%
6,500-7,000
32%
7,000-7,500
32%
7,500-8,000
32%
>8,000
40%
<5,000 42%
>8,000 40%
5,000-5,500 33%
5,500-6,000 32%
NEW
NEW
Mar 30, 2026
<5,000
$0 交易量
42%
5,000-5,500
$0 交易量
33%
5,500-6,000
$0 交易量
32%
6,000-6,500
$0 交易量
32%
6,500-7,000
$0 交易量
32%
7,000-7,500
$0 交易量
32%
7,500-8,000
$0 交易量
32%
>8,000
$0 交易量
40%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty for US flight delays on March 30, pitting a below-5,000 outcome (41.5%) against over-8,000 (40.0%), with mid-range buckets clustered around 31-32%. Recent severe East Coast storms through mid-March triggered record disruptions—over 12,500 delays and cancellations on March 16 alone—fueled by thunderstorms and high winds, compounded by spring break travel surges, TSA staffing shortages, and Newark tower evacuations. The FAA's March 27 report flags potential high winds at New York and Philadelphia hubs, plus thunderstorms in Chicago, keeping high-delay risks alive amid elevated volumes. Mid-ranges lag as traders bet on extremes: normalization if weather clears, or escalation from new systems or ground stops. Fresh FAA advisories or refined forecasts could tip odds sharply.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Mar 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty for US flight delays on March 30, pitting a below-5,000 outcome (41.5%) against over-8,000 (40.0%), with mid-range buckets clustered around 31-32%. Recent severe East Coast storms through mid-March triggered record disruptions—over 12,500 delays and cancellations on March 16 alone—fueled by thunderstorms and high winds, compounded by spring break travel surges, TSA staffing shortages, and Newark tower evacuations. The FAA's March 27 report flags potential high winds at New York and Philadelphia hubs, plus thunderstorms in Chicago, keeping high-delay risks alive amid elevated volumes. Mid-ranges lag as traders bet on extremes: normalization if weather clears, or escalation from new systems or ground stops. Fresh FAA advisories or refined forecasts could tip odds sharply.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
交易量
$0结束日期
Mar 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty for US flight delays on March 30, pitting a below-5,000 outcome (41.5%) against over-8,000 (40.0%), with mid-range buckets clustered around 31-32%. Recent severe East Coast storms through mid-March triggered record disruptions—over 12,500 delays and cancellations on March 16 alone—fueled by thunderstorms and high winds, compounded by spring break travel surges, TSA staffing shortages, and Newark tower evacuations. The FAA's March 27 report flags potential high winds at New York and Philadelphia hubs, plus thunderstorms in Chicago, keeping high-delay risks alive amid elevated volumes. Mid-ranges lag as traders bet on extremes: normalization if weather clears, or escalation from new systems or ground stops. Fresh FAA advisories or refined forecasts could tip odds sharply.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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