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政治·机场

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?

Market icon
政治·机场

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

26% chance
Polymarket

$0.00 交易量

26% chance
Polymarket

$0.00 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Trader consensus reflects a 74% implied probability for under 500 US flight cancellations on March 28, driven by the lack of widespread severe weather following mid-March blizzards that canceled thousands of flights across major hubs like Chicago, Atlanta, and New York. The FAA's daily air traffic report anticipates only high-wind delays at Northeast airports including EWR, JFK, LGA, and PHL, far short of triggering mass cancellations. Persistent partial government shutdown effects, including TSA staffing shortages and FAA-mandated schedule reductions at 40 airports, have sustained modest daily disruptions—such as 188 cancellations on March 23—without escalating to shutdown-induced chaos. Absent strikes, ground stops, or new storms, live FlightAware data shows cancellations tracking below the threshold.

Trader consensus reflects a 74% implied probability for under 500 US flight cancellations on March 28, driven by the lack of widespread severe weather following mid-March blizzards that canceled thousands of flights across major hubs like Chicago, Atlanta, and New York. The FAA's daily air traffic report anticipates only high-wind delays at Northeast airports including EWR, JFK, LGA, and PHL, far short of triggering mass cancellations. Persistent partial government shutdown effects, including TSA staffing shortages and FAA-mandated schedule reductions at 40 airports, have sustained modest daily disruptions—such as 188 cancellations on March 23—without escalating to shutdown-induced chaos. Absent strikes, ground stops, or new storms, live FlightAware data shows cancellations tracking below the threshold.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Trader consensus reflects a 74% implied probability for under 500 US flight cancellations on March 28, driven by the lack of widespread severe weather following mid-March blizzards that canceled thousands of flights across major hubs like Chicago, Atlanta, and New York. The FAA's daily air traffic report anticipates only high-wind delays at Northeast airports including EWR, JFK, LGA, and PHL, far short of triggering mass cancellations. Persistent partial government shutdown effects, including TSA staffing shortages and FAA-mandated schedule reductions at 40 airports, have sustained modest daily disruptions—such as 188 cancellations on March 23—without escalating to shutdown-induced chaos. Absent strikes, ground stops, or new storms, live FlightAware data shows cancellations tracking below the threshold.

Trader consensus reflects a 74% implied probability for under 500 US flight cancellations on March 28, driven by the lack of widespread severe weather following mid-March blizzards that canceled thousands of flights across major hubs like Chicago, Atlanta, and New York. The FAA's daily air traffic report anticipates only high-wind delays at Northeast airports including EWR, JFK, LGA, and PHL, far short of triggering mass cancellations. Persistent partial government shutdown effects, including TSA staffing shortages and FAA-mandated schedule reductions at 40 airports, have sustained modest daily disruptions—such as 188 cancellations on March 23—without escalating to shutdown-induced chaos. Absent strikes, ground stops, or new storms, live FlightAware data shows cancellations tracking below the threshold.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场，交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 26%（"Yes"）。例如，如果"是"的价格为 26¢，则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 26%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Mar 27, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?"上交易，只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是"，每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否"，你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?"的当前概率为 26%（"Yes"）。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 26%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新，持续提供市场预期信号。

"Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 28?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。