Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority entering the 2026 midterms, with Senate Majority Leader John Thune repeatedly stating there is insufficient caucus support to invoke the nuclear option on the legislative filibuster. The party has already used majority votes to alter precedent for en bloc confirmation of sub-Cabinet nominees and certain executive-branch officials, lowering the threshold for those matters without touching the 60-vote requirement for most legislation. President Trump has publicly urged elimination of the filibuster to advance priorities such as voter ID measures amid ongoing disputes over government funding, yet multiple Republican senators have publicly opposed the step, citing long-term institutional risks once control changes hands. Upcoming Senate sessions before the November elections and any lame-duck period remain the primary windows where procedural changes could still be attempted if momentum shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$560,730 交易量
2026-03-30
2026年12月31日
6%
$560,730 交易量
2026年12月31日
$5,768 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority entering the 2026 midterms, with Senate Majority Leader John Thune repeatedly stating there is insufficient caucus support to invoke the nuclear option on the legislative filibuster. The party has already used majority votes to alter precedent for en bloc confirmation of sub-Cabinet nominees and certain executive-branch officials, lowering the threshold for those matters without touching the 60-vote requirement for most legislation. President Trump has publicly urged elimination of the filibuster to advance priorities such as voter ID measures amid ongoing disputes over government funding, yet multiple Republican senators have publicly opposed the step, citing long-term institutional risks once control changes hands. Upcoming Senate sessions before the November elections and any lame-duck period remain the primary windows where procedural changes could still be attempted if momentum shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
市场开放时间： Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$560,730结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority entering the 2026 midterms, with Senate Majority Leader John Thune repeatedly stating there is insufficient caucus support to invoke the nuclear option on the legislative filibuster. The party has already used majority votes to alter precedent for en bloc confirmation of sub-Cabinet nominees and certain executive-branch officials, lowering the threshold for those matters without touching the 60-vote requirement for most legislation. President Trump has publicly urged elimination of the filibuster to advance priorities such as voter ID measures amid ongoing disputes over government funding, yet multiple Republican senators have publicly opposed the step, citing long-term institutional risks once control changes hands. Upcoming Senate sessions before the November elections and any lame-duck period remain the primary windows where procedural changes could still be attempted if momentum shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
交易量
$560,730结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETRepublicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority entering the 2026 midterms, with Senate Majority Leader John Thune repeatedly stating there is insufficient caucus support to invoke the nuclear option on the legislative filibuster. The party has already used majority votes to alter precedent for en bloc confirmation of sub-Cabinet nominees and certain executive-branch officials, lowering the threshold for those matters without touching the 60-vote requirement for most legislation. President Trump has publicly urged elimination of the filibuster to advance priorities such as voter ID measures amid ongoing disputes over government funding, yet multiple Republican senators have publicly opposed the step, citing long-term institutional risks once control changes hands. Upcoming Senate sessions before the November elections and any lame-duck period remain the primary windows where procedural changes could still be attempted if momentum shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题