The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, ongoing since February 14 amid congressional disputes over FY2026 appropriations and immigration enforcement reforms for ICE and CBP, drives trader consensus toward "After April 30" at 77%, reflecting stalled negotiations with no floor vote despite the House resuming session April 14. Recent Senate passage of stop-gap bills funding most DHS components like TSA and FEMA was rejected by House Republicans seeking policy riders, while executive orders have enabled retroactive pay and staff recalls, yet April 16 warnings of growing backlogs underscore persistent impacts. Low odds for April dates stem from repeated procedural blocks and historical patterns of extended funding lapses in divided Congress, with no scheduled votes before month-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月30日之后 77.0%
4月21日至24日 6.3%
4月25日至28日 5.5%
4月29日至30日 5.2%
$948,975 交易量
$948,975 交易量
4月13日至16日
<1%
4月17日至20日
3%
4月21日至24日
6%
4月25日至28日
6%
4月29日至30日
5%
4月30日之后
77%
4月30日之后 77.0%
4月21日至24日 6.3%
4月25日至28日 5.5%
4月29日至30日 5.2%
$948,975 交易量
$948,975 交易量
4月13日至16日
<1%
4月17日至20日
3%
4月21日至24日
6%
4月25日至28日
6%
4月29日至30日
5%
4月30日之后
77%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, ongoing since February 14 amid congressional disputes over FY2026 appropriations and immigration enforcement reforms for ICE and CBP, drives trader consensus toward "After April 30" at 77%, reflecting stalled negotiations with no floor vote despite the House resuming session April 14. Recent Senate passage of stop-gap bills funding most DHS components like TSA and FEMA was rejected by House Republicans seeking policy riders, while executive orders have enabled retroactive pay and staff recalls, yet April 16 warnings of growing backlogs underscore persistent impacts. Low odds for April dates stem from repeated procedural blocks and historical patterns of extended funding lapses in divided Congress, with no scheduled votes before month-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题