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2026年将逮捕哪些卡特尔领导人?

Market icon

2026年将逮捕哪些卡特尔领导人?

$5,554 交易量

Feb 28, 2026
Polymarket

$5,554 交易量

Polymarket

伊万·阿尔奇瓦尔多·古兹曼·萨拉萨尔

$5,554 交易量

20%

赫苏斯·阿尔弗雷多·古斯曼·萨拉查

$0 交易量

19%

里卡多·鲁伊斯·贝拉斯科

$0 交易量

37%

奥迪亚斯·弗洛雷斯-席尔瓦

$0 交易量

28%

乌戈·冈萨洛·门多萨·加坦

$0 交易量

39%

胡安·卡洛斯·瓦伦西亚·冈萨雷斯

$0 交易量

22%

胡安·雷耶斯·梅希亚·冈萨雷斯

$0 交易量

55%

胡安·巴勃罗·莱德斯马

$0 交易量

53%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,554
结束日期
Feb 28, 2026
市场开放时间
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年将逮捕哪些卡特尔领导人?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"胡安·雷耶斯·梅希亚·冈萨雷斯",概率为 55%,其次是"胡安·巴勃罗·莱德斯马",概率为 53%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 55¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 55%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"2026年将逮捕哪些卡特尔领导人?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Feb 24, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"2026年将逮捕哪些卡特尔领导人?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年将逮捕哪些卡特尔领导人?"的当前领先者是"胡安·雷耶斯·梅希亚·冈萨雷斯",概率为 55%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 55%。紧随其后的结果是"胡安·巴勃罗·莱德斯马",概率为 53%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年将逮捕哪些卡特尔领导人?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。