The Mecca Joint Defense Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, in Mecca by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective defense under UN Charter principles, treating an attack on one signatory as an attack on all while enhancing military cooperation. Its architects have described the pact as open to additional participants, prompting Polymarket markets on potential joiners by December 31, 2026. Trader sentiment reflects the early stage of diplomacy, with leading probabilities for countries such as Egypt and Qatar remaining in the low teens amid ongoing regional consultations. Key variables include complementary capabilities among prospective members, alignment on Gulf and West Asian security priorities, and clarification that the framework is not intended as a sectarian or anti-Iran axis. Diplomatic signals from OIC states and scheduled bilateral engagements through late 2026 could shift implied probabilities if formal accession talks advance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-12-31
苏丹
68%
伊拉克
53%
埃及
35%
叙利亚
29%
巴林
21%
索马里
18%
卡塔尔
16%
摩洛哥
16%
约旦
16%
伊朗
11%
科威特
11%
也门
9%
阿拉伯联合酋长国
9%
阿曼
8%
阿尔及利亚
7%
黎巴嫩
7%
$8,080 交易量
苏丹
$667 交易量
68%
伊拉克
$689 交易量
53%
埃及
$358 交易量
35%
叙利亚
$506 交易量
29%
巴林
$538 交易量
21%
索马里
$776 交易量
18%
卡塔尔
$563 交易量
16%
摩洛哥
$1,044 交易量
16%
约旦
$526 交易量
16%
伊朗
$1,050 交易量
11%
科威特
$1,323 交易量
11%
也门
$0 交易量
9%
阿拉伯联合酋长国
$40 交易量
9%
阿曼
$0 交易量
8%
阿尔及利亚
$0 交易量
7%
黎巴嫩
$0 交易量
7%
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Mecca Joint Defense Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, in Mecca by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective defense under UN Charter principles, treating an attack on one signatory as an attack on all while enhancing military cooperation. Its architects have described the pact as open to additional participants, prompting Polymarket markets on potential joiners by December 31, 2026. Trader sentiment reflects the early stage of diplomacy, with leading probabilities for countries such as Egypt and Qatar remaining in the low teens amid ongoing regional consultations. Key variables include complementary capabilities among prospective members, alignment on Gulf and West Asian security priorities, and clarification that the framework is not intended as a sectarian or anti-Iran axis. Diplomatic signals from OIC states and scheduled bilateral engagements through late 2026 could shift implied probabilities if formal accession talks advance.
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
交易量
$8,080结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Mecca Joint Defense Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, in Mecca by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective defense under UN Charter principles, treating an attack on one signatory as an attack on all while enhancing military cooperation. Its architects have described the pact as open to additional participants, prompting Polymarket markets on potential joiners by December 31, 2026. Trader sentiment reflects the early stage of diplomacy, with leading probabilities for countries such as Egypt and Qatar remaining in the low teens amid ongoing regional consultations. Key variables include complementary capabilities among prospective members, alignment on Gulf and West Asian security priorities, and clarification that the framework is not intended as a sectarian or anti-Iran axis. Diplomatic signals from OIC states and scheduled bilateral engagements through late 2026 could shift implied probabilities if formal accession talks advance.
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$8,080结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Mecca Joint Defense Agreement, signed August 7, 2026, in Mecca by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes collective defense under UN Charter principles, treating an attack on one signatory as an attack on all while enhancing military cooperation. Its architects have described the pact as open to additional participants, prompting Polymarket markets on potential joiners by December 31, 2026. Trader sentiment reflects the early stage of diplomacy, with leading probabilities for countries such as Egypt and Qatar remaining in the low teens amid ongoing regional consultations. Key variables include complementary capabilities among prospective members, alignment on Gulf and West Asian security priorities, and clarification that the framework is not intended as a sectarian or anti-Iran axis. Diplomatic signals from OIC states and scheduled bilateral engagements through late 2026 could shift implied probabilities if formal accession talks advance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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