Recent US-China trade negotiations under the current administration have produced multiple framework agreements and tariff suspensions since mid-2025, including extensions of Section 301 exclusions and reciprocal tariff pauses through November 2026, alongside commitments on rare earth supplies and agricultural purchases. These steps, confirmed in official White House fact sheets following Trump-Xi summits, have already lowered effective rates and established ongoing dialogue mechanisms. Traders price an agreement by December 31, 2026, at 89.1% "Yes" because the pattern of incremental extensions and preliminary consensus reduces the likelihood of renewed escalation, with scheduled reviews and APEC follow-ups providing further catalysts within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$216,997 交易量
$216,997 交易量
2026-12-31
$216,997 交易量
$216,997 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent US-China trade negotiations under the current administration have produced multiple framework agreements and tariff suspensions since mid-2025, including extensions of Section 301 exclusions and reciprocal tariff pauses through November 2026, alongside commitments on rare earth supplies and agricultural purchases. These steps, confirmed in official White House fact sheets following Trump-Xi summits, have already lowered effective rates and established ongoing dialogue mechanisms. Traders price an agreement by December 31, 2026, at 89.1% "Yes" because the pattern of incremental extensions and preliminary consensus reduces the likelihood of renewed escalation, with scheduled reviews and APEC follow-ups providing further catalysts within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市场开放时间： May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
交易量
$216,997结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent US-China trade negotiations under the current administration have produced multiple framework agreements and tariff suspensions since mid-2025, including extensions of Section 301 exclusions and reciprocal tariff pauses through November 2026, alongside commitments on rare earth supplies and agricultural purchases. These steps, confirmed in official White House fact sheets following Trump-Xi summits, have already lowered effective rates and established ongoing dialogue mechanisms. Traders price an agreement by December 31, 2026, at 89.1% "Yes" because the pattern of incremental extensions and preliminary consensus reduces the likelihood of renewed escalation, with scheduled reviews and APEC follow-ups providing further catalysts within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$216,997结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-China trade negotiations under the current administration have produced multiple framework agreements and tariff suspensions since mid-2025, including extensions of Section 301 exclusions and reciprocal tariff pauses through November 2026, alongside commitments on rare earth supplies and agricultural purchases. These steps, confirmed in official White House fact sheets following Trump-Xi summits, have already lowered effective rates and established ongoing dialogue mechanisms. Traders price an agreement by December 31, 2026, at 89.1% "Yes" because the pattern of incremental extensions and preliminary consensus reduces the likelihood of renewed escalation, with scheduled reviews and APEC follow-ups providing further catalysts within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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