Recent preparatory talks in New York between U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng produced reported progress on carving out nonsensitive goods for potential tariff relief and establishing an AI dialogue channel, ahead of the September 24 Trump-Xi summit in Washington. These steps build on the May 2026 agreements to create bilateral trade and investment boards and pursue reciprocal tariff reductions on roughly $30 billion in goods each way. The one-year trade truce reached in late 2025, which caps most additional duties near 20 percent and suspends certain export controls, is set to expire November 10, 2026, making an extension or deeper framework a central focus. Implementation of prior purchase commitments for U.S. agricultural products and aircraft remains uneven, while ongoing Section 301 actions and rare-earth supply issues add pressure for near-term stabilization before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$269,498 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
44%
10月31日
55%
12月31日
90%
$269,498 交易量
9月30日
$0 交易量
44%
10月31日
$0 交易量
55%
12月31日
$269,498 交易量
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and the listed date 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent preparatory talks in New York between U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng produced reported progress on carving out nonsensitive goods for potential tariff relief and establishing an AI dialogue channel, ahead of the September 24 Trump-Xi summit in Washington. These steps build on the May 2026 agreements to create bilateral trade and investment boards and pursue reciprocal tariff reductions on roughly $30 billion in goods each way. The one-year trade truce reached in late 2025, which caps most additional duties near 20 percent and suspends certain export controls, is set to expire November 10, 2026, making an extension or deeper framework a central focus. Implementation of prior purchase commitments for U.S. agricultural products and aircraft remains uneven, while ongoing Section 301 actions and rare-earth supply issues add pressure for near-term stabilization before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and the listed date 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 4:51 PM ET
交易量
$269,498结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 4:51 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and the listed date 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent preparatory talks in New York between U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng produced reported progress on carving out nonsensitive goods for potential tariff relief and establishing an AI dialogue channel, ahead of the September 24 Trump-Xi summit in Washington. These steps build on the May 2026 agreements to create bilateral trade and investment boards and pursue reciprocal tariff reductions on roughly $30 billion in goods each way. The one-year trade truce reached in late 2025, which caps most additional duties near 20 percent and suspends certain export controls, is set to expire November 10, 2026, making an extension or deeper framework a central focus. Implementation of prior purchase commitments for U.S. agricultural products and aircraft remains uneven, while ongoing Section 301 actions and rare-earth supply issues add pressure for near-term stabilization before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and the listed date 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$269,498结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 4:51 PM ETRecent preparatory talks in New York between U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng produced reported progress on carving out nonsensitive goods for potential tariff relief and establishing an AI dialogue channel, ahead of the September 24 Trump-Xi summit in Washington. These steps build on the May 2026 agreements to create bilateral trade and investment boards and pursue reciprocal tariff reductions on roughly $30 billion in goods each way. The one-year trade truce reached in late 2025, which caps most additional duties near 20 percent and suspends certain export controls, is set to expire November 10, 2026, making an extension or deeper framework a central focus. Implementation of prior purchase commitments for U.S. agricultural products and aircraft remains uneven, while ongoing Section 301 actions and rare-earth supply issues add pressure for near-term stabilization before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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