Masoud Pezeshkian continues to exercise presidential authority in Iran, including recent departures for the UN General Assembly and bilateral meetings with regional partners, while rejecting earlier resignation rumors and navigating factional tensions under Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. No official statements, judicial actions, or security developments indicate plans for his detention in the immediate term. Trader consensus at 99.4% against arrest by September 28 reflects the structural protections around the sitting president, his visible diplomatic schedule through late September, and the absence of triggers such as formal charges or regime shifts. Realistic scenarios that could still alter the outcome remain limited to sudden internal power struggles, health incidents, or rapid escalation in ongoing U.S.-Iran or Israel-Iran frictions, though none have materialized in verified reporting within the narrow resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
<1% 概率
最新
最新
2026-09-28
是
<1% 概率
最新
最新
2026-09-28
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Masoud Pezeshkian is arrested between market creation and September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Pezeshkian is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Masoud Pezeshkian continues to exercise presidential authority in Iran, including recent departures for the UN General Assembly and bilateral meetings with regional partners, while rejecting earlier resignation rumors and navigating factional tensions under Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. No official statements, judicial actions, or security developments indicate plans for his detention in the immediate term. Trader consensus at 99.4% against arrest by September 28 reflects the structural protections around the sitting president, his visible diplomatic schedule through late September, and the absence of triggers such as formal charges or regime shifts. Realistic scenarios that could still alter the outcome remain limited to sudden internal power struggles, health incidents, or rapid escalation in ongoing U.S.-Iran or Israel-Iran frictions, though none have materialized in verified reporting within the narrow resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Masoud Pezeshkian is arrested between market creation and September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Pezeshkian is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Pezeshkian is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
交易量
$1,230结束日期
2026-09-29市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 5:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Masoud Pezeshkian is arrested between market creation and September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Pezeshkian is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Masoud Pezeshkian continues to exercise presidential authority in Iran, including recent departures for the UN General Assembly and bilateral meetings with regional partners, while rejecting earlier resignation rumors and navigating factional tensions under Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. No official statements, judicial actions, or security developments indicate plans for his detention in the immediate term. Trader consensus at 99.4% against arrest by September 28 reflects the structural protections around the sitting president, his visible diplomatic schedule through late September, and the absence of triggers such as formal charges or regime shifts. Realistic scenarios that could still alter the outcome remain limited to sudden internal power struggles, health incidents, or rapid escalation in ongoing U.S.-Iran or Israel-Iran frictions, though none have materialized in verified reporting within the narrow resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Masoud Pezeshkian is arrested between market creation and September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Pezeshkian is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Pezeshkian is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,230结束日期
2026-09-29市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 5:02 PM ETMasoud Pezeshkian continues to exercise presidential authority in Iran, including recent departures for the UN General Assembly and bilateral meetings with regional partners, while rejecting earlier resignation rumors and navigating factional tensions under Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. No official statements, judicial actions, or security developments indicate plans for his detention in the immediate term. Trader consensus at 99.4% against arrest by September 28 reflects the structural protections around the sitting president, his visible diplomatic schedule through late September, and the absence of triggers such as formal charges or regime shifts. Realistic scenarios that could still alter the outcome remain limited to sudden internal power struggles, health incidents, or rapid escalation in ongoing U.S.-Iran or Israel-Iran frictions, though none have materialized in verified reporting within the narrow resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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