Ongoing military confrontation between Israel and Iran, including recent strikes and exchanges over the Strait of Hormuz, has eliminated diplomatic channels and rendered a bilateral meeting between Prime Minister Netanyahu and President Pezeshkian by September 30 extremely unlikely. Netanyahu has publicly emphasized actions to weaken Iranian capabilities and leadership, while Pezeshkian’s attendance at the UN General Assembly centers on potential U.S. contacts amid hardened Iranian conditions for any negotiations. Traders assign 98% probability to “No” because no scheduled engagement exists, historical enmity persists, and the compressed timeline leaves no realistic window for sudden direct talks. Late developments such as an abrupt ceasefire breakthrough or mediated side meeting in New York could theoretically shift the outcome before the deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
2% 概率
最新
最新
2026-09-30
是
2% 概率
最新
最新
2026-09-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu meets with Masoud Pezeshkian between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Netanyahu and Pezeshkian are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The meeting must have occurred and must be confirmed to have occurred within the specified timeframe. A meeting that occurs after the specified date, or that is not confirmed until after the specified date, will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing military confrontation between Israel and Iran, including recent strikes and exchanges over the Strait of Hormuz, has eliminated diplomatic channels and rendered a bilateral meeting between Prime Minister Netanyahu and President Pezeshkian by September 30 extremely unlikely. Netanyahu has publicly emphasized actions to weaken Iranian capabilities and leadership, while Pezeshkian’s attendance at the UN General Assembly centers on potential U.S. contacts amid hardened Iranian conditions for any negotiations. Traders assign 98% probability to “No” because no scheduled engagement exists, historical enmity persists, and the compressed timeline leaves no realistic window for sudden direct talks. Late developments such as an abrupt ceasefire breakthrough or mediated side meeting in New York could theoretically shift the outcome before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu meets with Masoud Pezeshkian between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Netanyahu and Pezeshkian are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The meeting must have occurred and must be confirmed to have occurred within the specified timeframe. A meeting that occurs after the specified date, or that is not confirmed until after the specified date, will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Netanyahu and Pezeshkian are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The meeting must have occurred and must be confirmed to have occurred within the specified timeframe. A meeting that occurs after the specified date, or that is not confirmed until after the specified date, will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 10:53 AM ET
交易量
$1,101结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 10:53 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu meets with Masoud Pezeshkian between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Netanyahu and Pezeshkian are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The meeting must have occurred and must be confirmed to have occurred within the specified timeframe. A meeting that occurs after the specified date, or that is not confirmed until after the specified date, will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing military confrontation between Israel and Iran, including recent strikes and exchanges over the Strait of Hormuz, has eliminated diplomatic channels and rendered a bilateral meeting between Prime Minister Netanyahu and President Pezeshkian by September 30 extremely unlikely. Netanyahu has publicly emphasized actions to weaken Iranian capabilities and leadership, while Pezeshkian’s attendance at the UN General Assembly centers on potential U.S. contacts amid hardened Iranian conditions for any negotiations. Traders assign 98% probability to “No” because no scheduled engagement exists, historical enmity persists, and the compressed timeline leaves no realistic window for sudden direct talks. Late developments such as an abrupt ceasefire breakthrough or mediated side meeting in New York could theoretically shift the outcome before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu meets with Masoud Pezeshkian between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Netanyahu and Pezeshkian are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The meeting must have occurred and must be confirmed to have occurred within the specified timeframe. A meeting that occurs after the specified date, or that is not confirmed until after the specified date, will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Netanyahu and Pezeshkian are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The meeting must have occurred and must be confirmed to have occurred within the specified timeframe. A meeting that occurs after the specified date, or that is not confirmed until after the specified date, will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,101结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 10:53 AM ETOngoing military confrontation between Israel and Iran, including recent strikes and exchanges over the Strait of Hormuz, has eliminated diplomatic channels and rendered a bilateral meeting between Prime Minister Netanyahu and President Pezeshkian by September 30 extremely unlikely. Netanyahu has publicly emphasized actions to weaken Iranian capabilities and leadership, while Pezeshkian’s attendance at the UN General Assembly centers on potential U.S. contacts amid hardened Iranian conditions for any negotiations. Traders assign 98% probability to “No” because no scheduled engagement exists, historical enmity persists, and the compressed timeline leaves no realistic window for sudden direct talks. Late developments such as an abrupt ceasefire breakthrough or mediated side meeting in New York could theoretically shift the outcome before the deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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