Older women remain one of the most competitive voting blocs heading into the 2026 midterms, with trader consensus reflected in near-even pricing between the parties on the generic congressional ballot. Recent polling from Pew and others shows voters 65 and older splitting closely or showing only a modest Republican edge that has narrowed from 2024 levels, driven by economic anxiety and concerns over entitlement programs such as Social Security and Medicare. AARP surveys highlight that women 50 and older express particular unease about financial security and future economic conditions, creating openings for both parties to contest the group through messaging on healthcare costs, retirement benefits, and inflation. The gender gap persists overall but narrows among this older cohort, where turnout is historically high and neither side has established a durable advantage in current surveys. Scheduled campaign events, candidate positioning on fiscal policy, and any shifts in generic ballot trends through the fall could widen the margin before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-06
民主党
48%
共和党
47%
最新
最新
2026-11-06
民主党
$0 交易量
48%
共和党
$0 交易量
47%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of women aged 65 and older in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for women aged 65 and older, this market will resolve based on the oldest age for women for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Older women remain one of the most competitive voting blocs heading into the 2026 midterms, with trader consensus reflected in near-even pricing between the parties on the generic congressional ballot. Recent polling from Pew and others shows voters 65 and older splitting closely or showing only a modest Republican edge that has narrowed from 2024 levels, driven by economic anxiety and concerns over entitlement programs such as Social Security and Medicare. AARP surveys highlight that women 50 and older express particular unease about financial security and future economic conditions, creating openings for both parties to contest the group through messaging on healthcare costs, retirement benefits, and inflation. The gender gap persists overall but narrows among this older cohort, where turnout is historically high and neither side has established a durable advantage in current surveys. Scheduled campaign events, candidate positioning on fiscal policy, and any shifts in generic ballot trends through the fall could widen the margin before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of women aged 65 and older in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for women aged 65 and older, this market will resolve based on the oldest age for women for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of women aged 65 and older in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for women aged 65 and older, this market will resolve based on the oldest age for women for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-06市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETThe 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of women aged 65 and older in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for women aged 65 and older, this market will resolve based on the oldest age for women for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Older women remain one of the most competitive voting blocs heading into the 2026 midterms, with trader consensus reflected in near-even pricing between the parties on the generic congressional ballot. Recent polling from Pew and others shows voters 65 and older splitting closely or showing only a modest Republican edge that has narrowed from 2024 levels, driven by economic anxiety and concerns over entitlement programs such as Social Security and Medicare. AARP surveys highlight that women 50 and older express particular unease about financial security and future economic conditions, creating openings for both parties to contest the group through messaging on healthcare costs, retirement benefits, and inflation. The gender gap persists overall but narrows among this older cohort, where turnout is historically high and neither side has established a durable advantage in current surveys. Scheduled campaign events, candidate positioning on fiscal policy, and any shifts in generic ballot trends through the fall could widen the margin before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of women aged 65 and older in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for women aged 65 and older, this market will resolve based on the oldest age for women for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of women aged 65 and older in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for women aged 65 and older, this market will resolve based on the oldest age for women for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-06市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETOlder women remain one of the most competitive voting blocs heading into the 2026 midterms, with trader consensus reflected in near-even pricing between the parties on the generic congressional ballot. Recent polling from Pew and others shows voters 65 and older splitting closely or showing only a modest Republican edge that has narrowed from 2024 levels, driven by economic anxiety and concerns over entitlement programs such as Social Security and Medicare. AARP surveys highlight that women 50 and older express particular unease about financial security and future economic conditions, creating openings for both parties to contest the group through messaging on healthcare costs, retirement benefits, and inflation. The gender gap persists overall but narrows among this older cohort, where turnout is historically high and neither side has established a durable advantage in current surveys. Scheduled campaign events, candidate positioning on fiscal policy, and any shifts in generic ballot trends through the fall could widen the margin before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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