Amid escalating tensions in the US-Iran conflict, Vice President J.D. Vance led the first round of direct negotiations in Islamabad earlier this month, which collapsed over Iran's refusal to relinquish enriched uranium stockpiles, prompting a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on April 14. President Trump stated on April 14 that a second round of talks could resume within days, potentially hosted by Pakistan or Oman, as a temporary ceasefire nears expiration on April 21. Diplomats from Turkey, Egypt, and Qatar are facilitating arrangements, while traders weigh which Trump administration figures—such as Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, advisor Jared Kushner, or envoy Steve Witkoff—might engage Iranian counterparts before the April 30 deadline, reflecting uncertainty in diplomatic personnel amid stalled nuclear and Hormuz shipping talks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-04-30
Donald Trump
10%
J.D. Vance
63%
Marco Rubio
30%
Jared Kushner
67%
Steve Witkoff
65%
$114 交易量
Donald Trump
$8 交易量
10%
J.D. Vance
$91 交易量
63%
Marco Rubio
$0 交易量
30%
Jared Kushner
$10 交易量
67%
Steve Witkoff
$5 交易量
65%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid escalating tensions in the US-Iran conflict, Vice President J.D. Vance led the first round of direct negotiations in Islamabad earlier this month, which collapsed over Iran's refusal to relinquish enriched uranium stockpiles, prompting a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on April 14. President Trump stated on April 14 that a second round of talks could resume within days, potentially hosted by Pakistan or Oman, as a temporary ceasefire nears expiration on April 21. Diplomats from Turkey, Egypt, and Qatar are facilitating arrangements, while traders weigh which Trump administration figures—such as Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, advisor Jared Kushner, or envoy Steve Witkoff—might engage Iranian counterparts before the April 30 deadline, reflecting uncertainty in diplomatic personnel amid stalled nuclear and Hormuz shipping talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
交易量
$114结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid escalating tensions in the US-Iran conflict, Vice President J.D. Vance led the first round of direct negotiations in Islamabad earlier this month, which collapsed over Iran's refusal to relinquish enriched uranium stockpiles, prompting a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on April 14. President Trump stated on April 14 that a second round of talks could resume within days, potentially hosted by Pakistan or Oman, as a temporary ceasefire nears expiration on April 21. Diplomats from Turkey, Egypt, and Qatar are facilitating arrangements, while traders weigh which Trump administration figures—such as Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, advisor Jared Kushner, or envoy Steve Witkoff—might engage Iranian counterparts before the April 30 deadline, reflecting uncertainty in diplomatic personnel amid stalled nuclear and Hormuz shipping talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$114结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating tensions in the US-Iran conflict, Vice President J.D. Vance led the first round of direct negotiations in Islamabad earlier this month, which collapsed over Iran's refusal to relinquish enriched uranium stockpiles, prompting a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on April 14. President Trump stated on April 14 that a second round of talks could resume within days, potentially hosted by Pakistan or Oman, as a temporary ceasefire nears expiration on April 21. Diplomats from Turkey, Egypt, and Qatar are facilitating arrangements, while traders weigh which Trump administration figures—such as Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, advisor Jared Kushner, or envoy Steve Witkoff—might engage Iranian counterparts before the April 30 deadline, reflecting uncertainty in diplomatic personnel amid stalled nuclear and Hormuz shipping talks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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