Petr Yan’s next opponent market is dominated by Merab Dvalishvili at an 83% implied probability because the pair share a 1-1 record and have repeatedly expressed interest in completing a trilogy. Recent reporting indicates the UFC is finalizing Yan vs. Dvalishvili 3 for a October 24 numbered event in Abu Dhabi, with both fighters confirming the matchup in principle and Yan already back in camp. Merab has publicly stated he is waiting patiently while Yan recovers, reinforcing the consensus that this is the logical next step in the bantamweight division. Lower-probability names such as Sean O’Malley, Umar Nurmagomedov, and Song Yadong sit in single digits because they remain tied to other scheduled bouts or lack direct title implications with Yan at present. Trader positioning therefore reflects confirmed rivalry momentum and the absence of competing high-profile offers rather than speculation.