Petr Yan’s status as the reigning UFC bantamweight champion after his unanimous-decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025 has positioned the trilogy bout as the clear next step. Yan’s recovery from back surgery, which sidelined him into summer 2026, aligns with reports that the rematch is advancing toward UFC 332 in Abu Dhabi on October 24, explaining the dominant 83% implied probability for Dvalishvili. Sean O’Malley sits at a distant 5.5% as a potential future title challenger once the rivalry is settled, while lower-probability names such as Alexander Volkanovski, Song Yadong, and Umar Nurmagomedov reflect standard contender positioning without confirmed negotiations or recent title implications. Trader consensus tracks the ongoing negotiation momentum and historical head-to-head stakes rather than unconfirmed alternatives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Merab Dvalishvili 83%
肖恩·奥马利 5.5%
亚历山大·沃尔卡诺夫斯基 1.0%
宋亚东 <1%
$1,139,871 交易量
$1,139,871 交易量
Merab Dvalishvili
83%
肖恩·奥马利
6%
亚历山大·沃尔卡诺夫斯基
1%
宋亚东
1%
乌马尔·努尔马戈梅多夫
<1%
多米尼克·克鲁兹
<1%
科里·桑德哈根
<1%
罗布·丰特
<1%
佩德罗·穆尼奥斯
<1%
亚历山大·潘托哈
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
里基·西蒙
<1%
佩顿·塔尔博特
<1%
亨利·赛胡多
<1%
Merab Dvalishvili 83%
肖恩·奥马利 5.5%
亚历山大·沃尔卡诺夫斯基 1.0%
宋亚东 <1%
$1,139,871 交易量
$1,139,871 交易量
Merab Dvalishvili
83%
肖恩·奥马利
6%
亚历山大·沃尔卡诺夫斯基
1%
宋亚东
1%
乌马尔·努尔马戈梅多夫
<1%
多米尼克·克鲁兹
<1%
科里·桑德哈根
<1%
罗布·丰特
<1%
佩德罗·穆尼奥斯
<1%
亚历山大·潘托哈
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
里基·西蒙
<1%
佩顿·塔尔博特
<1%
亨利·赛胡多
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
市场开放时间： Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan’s status as the reigning UFC bantamweight champion after his unanimous-decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025 has positioned the trilogy bout as the clear next step. Yan’s recovery from back surgery, which sidelined him into summer 2026, aligns with reports that the rematch is advancing toward UFC 332 in Abu Dhabi on October 24, explaining the dominant 83% implied probability for Dvalishvili. Sean O’Malley sits at a distant 5.5% as a potential future title challenger once the rivalry is settled, while lower-probability names such as Alexander Volkanovski, Song Yadong, and Umar Nurmagomedov reflect standard contender positioning without confirmed negotiations or recent title implications. Trader consensus tracks the ongoing negotiation momentum and historical head-to-head stakes rather than unconfirmed alternatives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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