**Petr Yan's recovery from back surgery and the 1-1 rivalry with Merab Dvalishvili anchor the bantamweight title picture heading into late 2026.** Yan reclaimed the belt via unanimous decision over Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, but subsequent injury delayed his return until summer, pushing any immediate title defense into the fall. Dvalishvili has repeatedly signaled readiness for the trilogy while staying active in other contexts, aligning with reports of a potential October clash in Abu Dhabi. This history, combined with Yan's stated preference to settle the score, drives the dominant 89% implied probability for Dvalishvili in trader consensus. Sean O'Malley sits at 10% as the next logical contender should the trilogy slip, though his own timeline and calls for a Yan rematch introduce variables. Late scratches, further injury setbacks, or a sudden shift toward another ranked contender could still reroute the matchup before contracts finalize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Merab Dvalishvili 89%
肖恩·奥马利 10.1%
亚历山大·沃尔卡诺夫斯基 1.0%
宋亚东 <1%
$1,140,010 交易量
$1,140,010 交易量
Merab Dvalishvili
89%
肖恩·奥马利
10%
亚历山大·沃尔卡诺夫斯基
1%
宋亚东
1%
乌马尔·努尔马戈梅多夫
<1%
多米尼克·克鲁兹
<1%
科里·桑德哈根
<1%
罗布·丰特
<1%
佩德罗·穆尼奥斯
<1%
亚历山大·潘托哈
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
里基·西蒙
<1%
佩顿·塔尔博特
<1%
亨利·赛胡多
<1%
Merab Dvalishvili 89%
肖恩·奥马利 10.1%
亚历山大·沃尔卡诺夫斯基 1.0%
宋亚东 <1%
$1,140,010 交易量
$1,140,010 交易量
Merab Dvalishvili
89%
肖恩·奥马利
10%
亚历山大·沃尔卡诺夫斯基
1%
宋亚东
1%
乌马尔·努尔马戈梅多夫
<1%
多米尼克·克鲁兹
<1%
科里·桑德哈根
<1%
罗布·丰特
<1%
佩德罗·穆尼奥斯
<1%
亚历山大·潘托哈
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
里基·西蒙
<1%
佩顿·塔尔博特
<1%
亨利·赛胡多
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
市场开放时间： Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Petr Yan's recovery from back surgery and the 1-1 rivalry with Merab Dvalishvili anchor the bantamweight title picture heading into late 2026.** Yan reclaimed the belt via unanimous decision over Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, but subsequent injury delayed his return until summer, pushing any immediate title defense into the fall. Dvalishvili has repeatedly signaled readiness for the trilogy while staying active in other contexts, aligning with reports of a potential October clash in Abu Dhabi. This history, combined with Yan's stated preference to settle the score, drives the dominant 89% implied probability for Dvalishvili in trader consensus. Sean O'Malley sits at 10% as the next logical contender should the trilogy slip, though his own timeline and calls for a Yan rematch introduce variables. Late scratches, further injury setbacks, or a sudden shift toward another ranked contender could still reroute the matchup before contracts finalize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题