Market icon

谁将取代Mullin担任俄克拉荷马州参议员?

Market icon

谁将取代Mullin担任俄克拉荷马州参议员?

马特·皮内尔 24%

凯文·斯蒂特 8%

斯蒂芬妮·比斯 6.6%

中期选举前无变动 2.9%

Polymarket

$24,739 交易量

马特·皮内尔 24%

凯文·斯蒂特 8%

斯蒂芬妮·比斯 6.6%

中期选举前无变动 2.9%

Polymarket

$24,739 交易量

Gentner Drummond

$267 交易量

2%

马特·皮内尔

$18,306 交易量

24%

凯文·赫恩

$1,348 交易量

2%

斯蒂芬妮·比斯

$3,596 交易量

7%

凯文·斯蒂特

$1,030 交易量

8%

查尔斯·麦考尔

$0 交易量

1%

瑞安·沃尔特斯

$193 交易量

1%

中期选举前无变动

$0 交易量

3%

On March 5, 2026, Donald Trump announced that the United States Senator from Oklahoma, Markwayne Mullin, will be appointed to replace Kristi Noem as United States Secretary of Homeland Security.

This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of Oklahoma, or otherwise formally selected according the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Markwayne Mullin’s seat as United States Senator from Oklahoma.

Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count.

If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.”

Additionally, if, prior to November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a widespread consensus of credible reporting indicates that Markwayne Mullin will complete his term as United States Senator (e.g. if Mullin’s nomination as Secretary of Homeland Security is rejected or withdrawn and he announces he will complete his term), this market will resolve immediately to “None Before Midterm Election.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Oklahoma; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$24,739
结束日期
Nov 3, 2026
市场开放时间
Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
On March 5, 2026, Donald Trump announced that the United States Senator from Oklahoma, Markwayne Mullin, will be appointed to replace Kristi Noem as United States Secretary of Homeland Security. This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of Oklahoma, or otherwise formally selected according the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Markwayne Mullin’s seat as United States Senator from Oklahoma. Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count. If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.” Additionally, if, prior to November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a widespread consensus of credible reporting indicates that Markwayne Mullin will complete his term as United States Senator (e.g. if Mullin’s nomination as Secretary of Homeland Security is rejected or withdrawn and he announces he will complete his term), this market will resolve immediately to “None Before Midterm Election.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Oklahoma; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"谁将取代Mullin担任俄克拉荷马州参议员?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"马特·皮内尔",概率为 24%,其次是"凯文·斯蒂特",概率为 8%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 24¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 24%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"谁将取代Mullin担任俄克拉荷马州参议员?"已产生 $24.7K 的总交易量(自Mar 5, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"谁将取代Mullin担任俄克拉荷马州参议员?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将取代Mullin担任俄克拉荷马州参议员?"的当前领先者是"马特·皮内尔",概率为 24%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 24%。紧随其后的结果是"凯文·斯蒂特",概率为 8%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将取代Mullin担任俄克拉荷马州参议员?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。