President Trump's abrupt firing of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2, 2026, and elevation of Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche to acting Attorney General have reshaped trader consensus, with EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin emerging as the 50% implied probability favorite following multiple reports of White House meetings and his status as Trump's top choice. Zeldin's prior prosecutorial experience as Suffolk County District Attorney bolsters his positioning amid DOJ upheaval. Blanche trails at 12% as the incumbent acting official facing potential permanence, while no announcement by June 30 trades at 27% given the two-week delay despite speculation. Senate confirmation dynamics and Trump's cabinet shuffle patterns will likely dictate the next catalyst, with lower-tier candidates like Ken Paxton reflecting diminished insider momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于李·泽尔丁 50%
6月30日前未宣布 26.9%
托德·布兰奇 12%
肯·帕克斯顿 2.9%
$441,696 交易量
$441,696 交易量

李·泽尔丁
50%

6月30日前未宣布
27%

托德·布兰奇
12%

肯·帕克斯顿
3%

珍妮妮·皮罗
2%

罗恩·德桑蒂斯
1%

哈米特·迪伦
<1%

杰伊·克莱顿
<1%

埃里克·施密特
<1%

杰夫·克拉克
<1%

马特·盖茨
<1%

迈克·李
<1%

特德·克鲁兹
<1%
李·泽尔丁 50%
6月30日前未宣布 26.9%
托德·布兰奇 12%
肯·帕克斯顿 2.9%
$441,696 交易量
$441,696 交易量

李·泽尔丁
50%

6月30日前未宣布
27%

托德·布兰奇
12%

肯·帕克斯顿
3%

珍妮妮·皮罗
2%

罗恩·德桑蒂斯
1%

哈米特·迪伦
<1%

杰伊·克莱顿
<1%

埃里克·施密特
<1%

杰夫·克拉克
<1%

马特·盖茨
<1%

迈克·李
<1%

特德·克鲁兹
<1%
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Attorney General will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Attorney General. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Attorney General will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Attorney General by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by June 30".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 2, 2026, 2:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Attorney General will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Attorney General. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Attorney General will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Attorney General by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by June 30".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's abrupt firing of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2, 2026, and elevation of Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche to acting Attorney General have reshaped trader consensus, with EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin emerging as the 50% implied probability favorite following multiple reports of White House meetings and his status as Trump's top choice. Zeldin's prior prosecutorial experience as Suffolk County District Attorney bolsters his positioning amid DOJ upheaval. Blanche trails at 12% as the incumbent acting official facing potential permanence, while no announcement by June 30 trades at 27% given the two-week delay despite speculation. Senate confirmation dynamics and Trump's cabinet shuffle patterns will likely dictate the next catalyst, with lower-tier candidates like Ken Paxton reflecting diminished insider momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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