Republican control of the Senate, with a 53-47 majority, underpins trader consensus favoring Pete Hegseth remaining Secretary of Defense through June 30, as reflected in the 74.5% implied probability on "No." Recent Senate Armed Services Committee hearings highlighted personal conduct allegations, including past drinking claims and a settled sexual misconduct accusation, but Hegseth denied wrongdoing, and no disqualifying evidence surfaced. Key Republicans, including Chair Roger Wicker, indicated a viable confirmation path after private briefings, while initial skeptics like Sens. Collins and Tillis softened opposition. Trump's firm backing and lack of withdrawal signals bolster stability expectations, with a committee vote anticipated soon amid minimal new catalysts for removal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
交易量
$227结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$227结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of the Senate, with a 53-47 majority, underpins trader consensus favoring Pete Hegseth remaining Secretary of Defense through June 30, as reflected in the 74.5% implied probability on "No." Recent Senate Armed Services Committee hearings highlighted personal conduct allegations, including past drinking claims and a settled sexual misconduct accusation, but Hegseth denied wrongdoing, and no disqualifying evidence surfaced. Key Republicans, including Chair Roger Wicker, indicated a viable confirmation path after private briefings, while initial skeptics like Sens. Collins and Tillis softened opposition. Trump's firm backing and lack of withdrawal signals bolster stability expectations, with a committee vote anticipated soon amid minimal new catalysts for removal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题