Ben Shelton's run to the men's final represents the sole realistic path for an American victory at the 2026 US Open, yet traders price "No" at 66% due to his matchup against top-seeded Alexander Zverev. Shelton advanced by defeating Carlos Alcaraz in a five-set quarterfinal and Frances Tiafoe in the semifinals, ending a long American drought in major semifinals, but Zverev's consistent form and ranking edge create a clear favorite dynamic on hard courts. On the women's side, Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina eliminated the top American contenders, Jessica Pegula and Coco Gauff, in the semifinals, leaving no U.S. players in that final. No American man has claimed a Grand Slam title since Andy Roddick in 2003, reinforcing the market's assessment of limited overall probability despite Shelton's strong recent results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于44% 概率
最新
最新
2026-09-12
44% 概率
最新
最新
2026-09-12
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a player representing the United States of America wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament or the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A champion in either singles draw is sufficient for this market to resolve to "Yes"; both draws do not need to be won by an American player. Doubles, mixed doubles, wheelchair, and junior events do not count toward this market.
A player's nationality will be determined by the country listed for that player in the official 2026 U.S. Open draws and results. A player listed as representing the United States of America qualifies regardless of birthplace or other citizenships held.
If neither the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament nor the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament has a declared champion by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ben Shelton's run to the men's final represents the sole realistic path for an American victory at the 2026 US Open, yet traders price "No" at 66% due to his matchup against top-seeded Alexander Zverev. Shelton advanced by defeating Carlos Alcaraz in a five-set quarterfinal and Frances Tiafoe in the semifinals, ending a long American drought in major semifinals, but Zverev's consistent form and ranking edge create a clear favorite dynamic on hard courts. On the women's side, Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina eliminated the top American contenders, Jessica Pegula and Coco Gauff, in the semifinals, leaving no U.S. players in that final. No American man has claimed a Grand Slam title since Andy Roddick in 2003, reinforcing the market's assessment of limited overall probability despite Shelton's strong recent results.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a player representing the United States of America wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament or the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A champion in either singles draw is sufficient for this market to resolve to "Yes"; both draws do not need to be won by an American player. Doubles, mixed doubles, wheelchair, and junior events do not count toward this market.
A player's nationality will be determined by the country listed for that player in the official 2026 U.S. Open draws and results. A player listed as representing the United States of America qualifies regardless of birthplace or other citizenships held.
If neither the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament nor the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament has a declared champion by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a player representing the United States of America wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament or the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A champion in either singles draw is sufficient for this market to resolve to "Yes"; both draws do not need to be won by an American player. Doubles, mixed doubles, wheelchair, and junior events do not count toward this market.
A player's nationality will be determined by the country listed for that player in the official 2026 U.S. Open draws and results. A player listed as representing the United States of America qualifies regardless of birthplace or other citizenships held.
If neither the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament nor the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament has a declared champion by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
交易量
$2,619结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ETThe 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a player representing the United States of America wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament or the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A champion in either singles draw is sufficient for this market to resolve to "Yes"; both draws do not need to be won by an American player. Doubles, mixed doubles, wheelchair, and junior events do not count toward this market.
A player's nationality will be determined by the country listed for that player in the official 2026 U.S. Open draws and results. A player listed as representing the United States of America qualifies regardless of birthplace or other citizenships held.
If neither the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament nor the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament has a declared champion by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ben Shelton's run to the men's final represents the sole realistic path for an American victory at the 2026 US Open, yet traders price "No" at 66% due to his matchup against top-seeded Alexander Zverev. Shelton advanced by defeating Carlos Alcaraz in a five-set quarterfinal and Frances Tiafoe in the semifinals, ending a long American drought in major semifinals, but Zverev's consistent form and ranking edge create a clear favorite dynamic on hard courts. On the women's side, Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina eliminated the top American contenders, Jessica Pegula and Coco Gauff, in the semifinals, leaving no U.S. players in that final. No American man has claimed a Grand Slam title since Andy Roddick in 2003, reinforcing the market's assessment of limited overall probability despite Shelton's strong recent results.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a player representing the United States of America wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament or the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A champion in either singles draw is sufficient for this market to resolve to "Yes"; both draws do not need to be won by an American player. Doubles, mixed doubles, wheelchair, and junior events do not count toward this market.
A player's nationality will be determined by the country listed for that player in the official 2026 U.S. Open draws and results. A player listed as representing the United States of America qualifies regardless of birthplace or other citizenships held.
If neither the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament nor the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament has a declared champion by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a player representing the United States of America wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament or the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A champion in either singles draw is sufficient for this market to resolve to "Yes"; both draws do not need to be won by an American player. Doubles, mixed doubles, wheelchair, and junior events do not count toward this market.
A player's nationality will be determined by the country listed for that player in the official 2026 U.S. Open draws and results. A player listed as representing the United States of America qualifies regardless of birthplace or other citizenships held.
If neither the 2026 U.S. Open Men's Singles Tournament nor the 2026 U.S. Open Women's Singles Tournament has a declared champion by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,619结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ETBen Shelton's run to the men's final represents the sole realistic path for an American victory at the 2026 US Open, yet traders price "No" at 66% due to his matchup against top-seeded Alexander Zverev. Shelton advanced by defeating Carlos Alcaraz in a five-set quarterfinal and Frances Tiafoe in the semifinals, ending a long American drought in major semifinals, but Zverev's consistent form and ranking edge create a clear favorite dynamic on hard courts. On the women's side, Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina eliminated the top American contenders, Jessica Pegula and Coco Gauff, in the semifinals, leaving no U.S. players in that final. No American man has claimed a Grand Slam title since Andy Roddick in 2003, reinforcing the market's assessment of limited overall probability despite Shelton's strong recent results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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