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Will Elon Musk testify against Altman?

icon for Will Elon Musk testify against Altman?

Will Elon Musk testify against Altman?

>99% 概率
Polymarket

$7,305 交易量

>99% 概率
Polymarket

$7,305 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count. This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered. If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Elon Musk providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elon Musk's sworn testimony on April 28, 2026, as the first witness in his federal lawsuit against OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and others in Oakland federal court has driven trader consensus to near-certainty at 99.3% for "Yes," reflecting the fulfillment of market resolution criteria for providing oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al. The high-stakes trial centers on allegations that OpenAI abandoned its nonprofit mission for profit maximization, with Musk seeking Altman's removal, billions in damages redirected to the nonprofit arm, and structural reforms. Ongoing proceedings, including expected testimony from Altman and Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella, sustain focus, though unlikely disruptions like procedural rulings, sudden settlement, or evidentiary challenges could theoretically impact final resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.

This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.

If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Elon Musk providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$7,305
市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count. This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered. If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Elon Musk providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count. This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered. If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Elon Musk providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elon Musk's sworn testimony on April 28, 2026, as the first witness in his federal lawsuit against OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and others in Oakland federal court has driven trader consensus to near-certainty at 99.3% for "Yes," reflecting the fulfillment of market resolution criteria for providing oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al. The high-stakes trial centers on allegations that OpenAI abandoned its nonprofit mission for profit maximization, with Musk seeking Altman's removal, billions in damages redirected to the nonprofit arm, and structural reforms. Ongoing proceedings, including expected testimony from Altman and Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella, sustain focus, though unlikely disruptions like procedural rulings, sudden settlement, or evidentiary challenges could theoretically impact final resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.

This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.

If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Elon Musk providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$7,305
市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count. This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered. If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Elon Musk providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

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"Will Elon Musk testify against Altman?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 100%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 100¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Will Elon Musk testify against Altman?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Apr 27, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

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"Will Elon Musk testify against Altman?"的当前概率为 100%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 100%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

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