Market icon

Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?

Market icon

Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?

4% 概率
Polymarket

$50,359 交易量

4% 概率
Polymarket

$50,359 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Colombian President Gustavo Petro by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used. U.S. officials confirmed in late March that Colombian President Gustavo Petro faces no criminal charges amid early-stage DOJ investigations in New York probing his alleged ties to drug traffickers, including possible campaign donations and meetings, as first reported by the New York Times on March 20. This clarification quelled initial market volatility, driving trader consensus to 96.3% on "No" charges or formal indictment by April 30, 2026, given the preliminary nature of the probes, lack of new developments since early April, and significant diplomatic and evidentiary barriers to indicting a sitting foreign head of state. Late-breaking evidence, such as key witness testimony or declassified intelligence, could still prompt an announcement, though traders view this as improbable within the tight resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Colombian President Gustavo Petro by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$50,359
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 2:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Colombian President Gustavo Petro by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Colombian President Gustavo Petro by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used. U.S. officials confirmed in late March that Colombian President Gustavo Petro faces no criminal charges amid early-stage DOJ investigations in New York probing his alleged ties to drug traffickers, including possible campaign donations and meetings, as first reported by the New York Times on March 20. This clarification quelled initial market volatility, driving trader consensus to 96.3% on "No" charges or formal indictment by April 30, 2026, given the preliminary nature of the probes, lack of new developments since early April, and significant diplomatic and evidentiary barriers to indicting a sitting foreign head of state. Late-breaking evidence, such as key witness testimony or declassified intelligence, could still prompt an announcement, though traders view this as improbable within the tight resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Colombian President Gustavo Petro by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$50,359
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 2:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Colombian President Gustavo Petro by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 4%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 4¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 4%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?"已产生 $50.4K 的总交易量(自Mar 20, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?"的当前概率为 4%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 4%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。