Trader consensus favors Daniel Noboa remaining Ecuador's president beyond June 30, 2025, at 66.5% implied probability for "No," driven by his leading position in recent presidential election polls ahead of the February 9 first-round vote. Surveys from late October show Noboa at 45-50% support, well ahead of rivals like Luisa González, bolstered by successful anti-crime referendum results in April and declining violence rates under ongoing states of emergency and military deployments. No active impeachment proceedings or constitutional challenges threaten his term ending May 24, despite tensions with the opposition-led National Assembly, with traders pricing in his re-election edge amid stable approval ratings around 50%. Upcoming campaign debates and potential runoff could shift dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
交易量
$68结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$68结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors Daniel Noboa remaining Ecuador's president beyond June 30, 2025, at 66.5% implied probability for "No," driven by his leading position in recent presidential election polls ahead of the February 9 first-round vote. Surveys from late October show Noboa at 45-50% support, well ahead of rivals like Luisa González, bolstered by successful anti-crime referendum results in April and declining violence rates under ongoing states of emergency and military deployments. No active impeachment proceedings or constitutional challenges threaten his term ending May 24, despite tensions with the opposition-led National Assembly, with traders pricing in his re-election edge amid stable approval ratings around 50%. Upcoming campaign debates and potential runoff could shift dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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