Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Catherine Trautmann at 50% implied probability to win the 2026 Strasbourg mayoral race, driven by recent polls showing her commanding 25-30% first-round support amid the socialist left's consolidation behind her experienced candidacy as former mayor from 2001-2008. Jean-Philippe Vetter holds 31.5% as the center-right frontrunner, bolstered by his role leading the Eurométropole de Strasbourg and appeal to voters seeking fiscal conservatism. Incumbent Green mayor Jeanne Barseghian lags at 12%, hampered by low approval ratings and fragmented progressive vote. A key October 2024 IFOP poll widened Trautmann's edge in simulated runoffs, though multipolar first-round dynamics and potential alliances leave room for shifts ahead of nominations in early 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于卡特琳娜·特劳特曼 50%
让-菲利普·韦特 32%
让娜·巴塞吉安 21%
NEW
NEW
Mar 22, 2026
卡特琳娜·特劳特曼
50%
让-菲利普·韦特
32%
让娜·巴塞吉安
21%
卡特琳娜·特劳特曼 50%
让-菲利普·韦特 32%
让娜·巴塞吉安 21%
NEW
NEW
Mar 22, 2026
卡特琳娜·特劳特曼
$7 交易量
50%
让-菲利普·韦特
$11 交易量
32%
让娜·巴塞吉安
$11 交易量
21%
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
交易量
$30结束日期
Mar 22, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$30结束日期
Mar 22, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Catherine Trautmann at 50% implied probability to win the 2026 Strasbourg mayoral race, driven by recent polls showing her commanding 25-30% first-round support amid the socialist left's consolidation behind her experienced candidacy as former mayor from 2001-2008. Jean-Philippe Vetter holds 31.5% as the center-right frontrunner, bolstered by his role leading the Eurométropole de Strasbourg and appeal to voters seeking fiscal conservatism. Incumbent Green mayor Jeanne Barseghian lags at 12%, hampered by low approval ratings and fragmented progressive vote. A key October 2024 IFOP poll widened Trautmann's edge in simulated runoffs, though multipolar first-round dynamics and potential alliances leave room for shifts ahead of nominations in early 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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