Charles Hittler's 86% implied probability in the Arcis-sur-Aube mayoral election reflects his entrenched incumbency since 2001, bolstered by a track record of local infrastructure improvements and center-right voter loyalty in the small French commune. Trader consensus heavily discounts challenger Antoine Renault-Zielinski's bid, despite the 28-year-old entrepreneur's October 2024 campaign launch and social media buzz positioning him as a fresh outsider—his odds hover at 7.5% amid polls showing Hittler ahead by wide margins. Annie Soucat's 9.5% share aligns with left-wing base support but lacks broader momentum. Recent local endorsements for Hittler and minimal polling shifts underscore stability ahead of the 2026 municipals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Charles Hittler 86%
Annie Soucat 10%
Antoine Renault-Zielinski 8%
NEW
NEW
Mar 22, 2026
Charles Hittler
86%
Annie Soucat
10%
Antoine Renault-Zielinski
8%
Charles Hittler 86%
Annie Soucat 10%
Antoine Renault-Zielinski 8%
NEW
NEW
Mar 22, 2026
Charles Hittler
$634 交易量
86%
Annie Soucat
$113 交易量
10%
Antoine Renault-Zielinski
$197 交易量
8%
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 9:07 AM ET
交易量
$945结束日期
Mar 22, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 9:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$945结束日期
Mar 22, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 9:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Charles Hittler's 86% implied probability in the Arcis-sur-Aube mayoral election reflects his entrenched incumbency since 2001, bolstered by a track record of local infrastructure improvements and center-right voter loyalty in the small French commune. Trader consensus heavily discounts challenger Antoine Renault-Zielinski's bid, despite the 28-year-old entrepreneur's October 2024 campaign launch and social media buzz positioning him as a fresh outsider—his odds hover at 7.5% amid polls showing Hittler ahead by wide margins. Annie Soucat's 9.5% share aligns with left-wing base support but lacks broader momentum. Recent local endorsements for Hittler and minimal polling shifts underscore stability ahead of the 2026 municipals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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