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Kanye会在4月30日之前再次发推文吗？

Market icon

Kanye会在4月30日之前再次发推文吗？

是

85% chance
Polymarket
NEW

是

85% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West (@kanyewest) posts/tweets again between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/kanyewest.Trader consensus heavily favors Ye (Kanye West) resuming activity on X by April 30, with Yes implying 77.5%, driven by his track record of impulsive, high-volume tweeting following periods of silence, even amid controversies. After reinstatement by Elon Musk in July 2023, Ye posted sporadically through early 2024, including music promotions for Vultures 1 and teases for Vultures 2, but has maintained radio silence on X since mid-March amid focus on new releases and personal matters. Recent Instagram deletions and antisemitic backlash haven't deterred past returns, and with Vultures 2's rollout imminent, bettors anticipate promotional posts or signature rants as key catalysts, underscoring the unpredictability of celebrity social media habits in pop culture.

Trader consensus heavily favors Ye (Kanye West) resuming activity on X by April 30, with Yes implying 77.5%, driven by his track record of impulsive, high-volume tweeting following periods of silence, even amid controversies. After reinstatement by Elon Musk in July 2023, Ye posted sporadically through early 2024, including music promotions for Vultures 1 and teases for Vultures 2, but has maintained radio silence on X since mid-March amid focus on new releases and personal matters. Recent Instagram deletions and antisemitic backlash haven't deterred past returns, and with Vultures 2's rollout imminent, bettors anticipate promotional posts or signature rants as key catalysts, underscoring the unpredictability of celebrity social media habits in pop culture.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West (@kanyewest) posts/tweets again between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/kanyewest.Trader consensus heavily favors Ye (Kanye West) resuming activity on X by April 30, with Yes implying 77.5%, driven by his track record of impulsive, high-volume tweeting following periods of silence, even amid controversies. After reinstatement by Elon Musk in July 2023, Ye posted sporadically through early 2024, including music promotions for Vultures 1 and teases for Vultures 2, but has maintained radio silence on X since mid-March amid focus on new releases and personal matters. Recent Instagram deletions and antisemitic backlash haven't deterred past returns, and with Vultures 2's rollout imminent, bettors anticipate promotional posts or signature rants as key catalysts, underscoring the unpredictability of celebrity social media habits in pop culture.

Trader consensus heavily favors Ye (Kanye West) resuming activity on X by April 30, with Yes implying 77.5%, driven by his track record of impulsive, high-volume tweeting following periods of silence, even amid controversies. After reinstatement by Elon Musk in July 2023, Ye posted sporadically through early 2024, including music promotions for Vultures 1 and teases for Vultures 2, but has maintained radio silence on X since mid-March amid focus on new releases and personal matters. Recent Instagram deletions and antisemitic backlash haven't deterred past returns, and with Vultures 2's rollout imminent, bettors anticipate promotional posts or signature rants as key catalysts, underscoring the unpredictability of celebrity social media habits in pop culture.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Kanye会在4月30日之前再次发推文吗？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"坎耶会在4月30日之前再次发推吗？"，概率为 76%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 76¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 76%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Kanye会在4月30日之前再次发推文吗？"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Mar 26, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Kanye会在4月30日之前再次发推文吗？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Kanye会在4月30日之前再次发推文吗？"的当前领先者是"坎耶会在4月30日之前再次发推吗？"，概率为 76%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 76%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Kanye会在4月30日之前再次发推文吗？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。