The abrupt cancellation of Taylor Frankie Paul’s already-filmed season days before its planned March 22, 2026 premiere, after TMZ released 2023 domestic violence footage involving her ex, remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment. ABC’s swift decision to shelve the episodes amid renewed scrutiny and a focus on supporting the family has established non-airing as the base case, pushing “Other (Season Cancelled)” to overwhelming implied probability. Subsequent factors—including no new charges against Paul, continued post-production work, a Change.org petition exceeding 25,000 signatures by late August, and executive comments leaving the door slightly ajar—have generated only modest revival speculation without an official greenlight or summer schedule slot. Doug Mason’s modest edge among listed contestants reflects residual pre-cancellation spoilers and casting buzz rather than active production signals, while the November 30, 2026 resolution deadline reinforces the strong consensus around cancellation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于单身女郎第22赛季获奖者
单身女郎第22赛季获奖者
其他（赛季取消） 89%
道格·梅森 4.2%
Ronn Perez <1%
约翰尼·拉罗莎 <1%
$2,464,038 交易量
$2,464,038 交易量
其他（赛季取消）
89%
道格·梅森
4%
Ronn Perez
1%
约翰尼·拉罗莎
1%
马特·卡罗尔
<1%
Shane Parton
<1%
马利克·埃文斯
<1%
Casey Hux
<1%
凯文·蒙特罗
<1%
克莱顿·约翰逊
<1%
马库斯·理查森
<1%
迈克尔·巴巴
<1%
亚伦·康
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
理查德·范德沃特
<1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Rod Strozier
<1%
布拉德·莱德福德
<1%
布兰登·珀斯
<1%
克里斯托弗·伍德
<1%
康拉德·乌克罗皮纳
<1%
Josh Harward
<1%
特伦顿·梅里尔
<1%
其他（赛季取消） 89%
道格·梅森 4.2%
Ronn Perez <1%
约翰尼·拉罗莎 <1%
$2,464,038 交易量
$2,464,038 交易量
其他（赛季取消）
89%
道格·梅森
4%
Ronn Perez
1%
约翰尼·拉罗莎
1%
马特·卡罗尔
<1%
Shane Parton
<1%
马利克·埃文斯
<1%
Casey Hux
<1%
凯文·蒙特罗
<1%
克莱顿·约翰逊
<1%
马库斯·理查森
<1%
迈克尔·巴巴
<1%
亚伦·康
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
理查德·范德沃特
<1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Rod Strozier
<1%
布拉德·莱德福德
<1%
布兰登·珀斯
<1%
克里斯托弗·伍德
<1%
康拉德·乌克罗皮纳
<1%
Josh Harward
<1%
特伦顿·梅里尔
<1%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
市场开放时间： Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
The abrupt cancellation of Taylor Frankie Paul’s already-filmed season days before its planned March 22, 2026 premiere, after TMZ released 2023 domestic violence footage involving her ex, remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment. ABC’s swift decision to shelve the episodes amid renewed scrutiny and a focus on supporting the family has established non-airing as the base case, pushing “Other (Season Cancelled)” to overwhelming implied probability. Subsequent factors—including no new charges against Paul, continued post-production work, a Change.org petition exceeding 25,000 signatures by late August, and executive comments leaving the door slightly ajar—have generated only modest revival speculation without an official greenlight or summer schedule slot. Doug Mason’s modest edge among listed contestants reflects residual pre-cancellation spoilers and casting buzz rather than active production signals, while the November 30, 2026 resolution deadline reinforces the strong consensus around cancellation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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