Roger Federer retired from professional tennis in 2022 after the Laver Cup, and at age 44 he has shown no signs of a competitive singles return ahead of the 2026 Wimbledon Championships. Recent activity has been limited to exhibitions, opening ceremonies, and practice sessions, with confirmed appearances at the Australian Open and U.S. Open qualifiers but no entry into the grass-court major draw or qualifying. Traders reflect this extended absence, combined with prior knee surgeries and the lack of any official tournament announcements, in the overwhelming 98.6% implied probability on No. An unprecedented late reversal of retirement statements remains the only realistic scenario that could alter the outcome before the event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-07-13
最新
最新
2026-07-13
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Roger Federer retired from professional tennis in 2022 after the Laver Cup, and at age 44 he has shown no signs of a competitive singles return ahead of the 2026 Wimbledon Championships. Recent activity has been limited to exhibitions, opening ceremonies, and practice sessions, with confirmed appearances at the Australian Open and U.S. Open qualifiers but no entry into the grass-court major draw or qualifying. Traders reflect this extended absence, combined with prior knee surgeries and the lack of any official tournament announcements, in the overwhelming 98.6% implied probability on No. An unprecedented late reversal of retirement statements remains the only realistic scenario that could alter the outcome before the event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
交易量
$2,499结束日期
2026-07-13市场开放时间
Mar 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Roger Federer retired from professional tennis in 2022 after the Laver Cup, and at age 44 he has shown no signs of a competitive singles return ahead of the 2026 Wimbledon Championships. Recent activity has been limited to exhibitions, opening ceremonies, and practice sessions, with confirmed appearances at the Australian Open and U.S. Open qualifiers but no entry into the grass-court major draw or qualifying. Traders reflect this extended absence, combined with prior knee surgeries and the lack of any official tournament announcements, in the overwhelming 98.6% implied probability on No. An unprecedented late reversal of retirement statements remains the only realistic scenario that could alter the outcome before the event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,499结束日期
2026-07-13市场开放时间
Mar 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Roger Federer retired from professional tennis in 2022 after the Laver Cup, and at age 44 he has shown no signs of a competitive singles return ahead of the 2026 Wimbledon Championships. Recent activity has been limited to exhibitions, opening ceremonies, and practice sessions, with confirmed appearances at the Australian Open and U.S. Open qualifiers but no entry into the grass-court major draw or qualifying. Traders reflect this extended absence, combined with prior knee surgeries and the lack of any official tournament announcements, in the overwhelming 98.6% implied probability on No. An unprecedented late reversal of retirement statements remains the only realistic scenario that could alter the outcome before the event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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