Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Rolex secondary market prices as stabilizing around the Bloomberg-Subdial Rolex Index level of approximately $12,400 in late April 2026, following a steep correction earlier in the year driven by China's $18 trillion household wealth erosion and elevated interest rates curbing luxury demand. January 2026 retail price increases averaging 4-7% for steel models—higher for gold—failed to lift gray market valuations, with 65% of the lineup trading below retail amid subdued trading volume. Rolex's Watches & Wonders announcements of 58 new references mid-April catalyzed modest rebounds in key models like the Daytona, pushing the WatchCharts Rolex Market Index up 9.8% year-over-year by April 28. Post-deadline data releases from Chrono24 or WatchCharts will confirm resolution against specific thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$136,751 交易量
2026-04-30
↑ $13,150
No
↑ $12,650
No
↑ $12,550
No
↑ $12,450
Yes
↑ $12,350
Yes
↑ $12,300
Yes
↑ $12,250
Yes
↓ $12,100
Yes
↓ $12,050
Yes
↓ $11,950
No
↓ $11,850
No
↓ $11,750
No
$136,751 交易量
↑ $13,150
$65,791 交易量
No
↑ $12,650
$4,788 交易量
No
↑ $12,550
$8,764 交易量
No
↑ $12,450
$21,392 交易量
Yes
↑ $12,350
$8,677 交易量
Yes
↑ $12,300
$9,502 交易量
Yes
↑ $12,250
$3,152 交易量
Yes
↓ $12,100
$2,431 交易量
Yes
↓ $12,050
$2,612 交易量
Yes
↓ $11,950
$2,796 交易量
No
↓ $11,850
$2,378 交易量
No
↓ $11,750
$4,467 交易量
No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Rolex secondary market prices as stabilizing around the Bloomberg-Subdial Rolex Index level of approximately $12,400 in late April 2026, following a steep correction earlier in the year driven by China's $18 trillion household wealth erosion and elevated interest rates curbing luxury demand. January 2026 retail price increases averaging 4-7% for steel models—higher for gold—failed to lift gray market valuations, with 65% of the lineup trading below retail amid subdued trading volume. Rolex's Watches & Wonders announcements of 58 new references mid-April catalyzed modest rebounds in key models like the Daytona, pushing the WatchCharts Rolex Market Index up 9.8% year-over-year by April 28. Post-deadline data releases from Chrono24 or WatchCharts will confirm resolution against specific thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Mar 16, 2026, 8:21 PM ET
交易量
$136,751结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 8:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Rolex secondary market prices as stabilizing around the Bloomberg-Subdial Rolex Index level of approximately $12,400 in late April 2026, following a steep correction earlier in the year driven by China's $18 trillion household wealth erosion and elevated interest rates curbing luxury demand. January 2026 retail price increases averaging 4-7% for steel models—higher for gold—failed to lift gray market valuations, with 65% of the lineup trading below retail amid subdued trading volume. Rolex's Watches & Wonders announcements of 58 new references mid-April catalyzed modest rebounds in key models like the Daytona, pushing the WatchCharts Rolex Market Index up 9.8% year-over-year by April 28. Post-deadline data releases from Chrono24 or WatchCharts will confirm resolution against specific thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution.
This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
交易量
$136,751结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 8:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Rolex secondary market prices as stabilizing around the Bloomberg-Subdial Rolex Index level of approximately $12,400 in late April 2026, following a steep correction earlier in the year driven by China's $18 trillion household wealth erosion and elevated interest rates curbing luxury demand. January 2026 retail price increases averaging 4-7% for steel models—higher for gold—failed to lift gray market valuations, with 65% of the lineup trading below retail amid subdued trading volume. Rolex's Watches & Wonders announcements of 58 new references mid-April catalyzed modest rebounds in key models like the Daytona, pushing the WatchCharts Rolex Market Index up 9.8% year-over-year by April 28. Post-deadline data releases from Chrono24 or WatchCharts will confirm resolution against specific thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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