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特朗普会切断与西班牙的贸易吗?

Market icon

特朗普会切断与西班牙的贸易吗?

2% chance
Polymarket

$207,565 交易量

2% chance
Polymarket

$207,565 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action (including executive orders, proclamations, and memoranda) that orders, directs, or enacts a comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement, made within this market’s timeframe, from the Trump Administration that a concrete policy to comprehensively ban imports and exports between the US and Spain will definitively be implemented, without such legislation or executive action, will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. Such an announcement must be tied to a specific policy or set of actions being implemented; mere public statements that a ban will be implemented will not qualify.

A comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain is defined as any trade ban or embargo that applies broadly to imports and exports between the US and Spain. Limited exceptions for certain categories of imports and exports will not disqualify a ban from counting, provided the ban applies generally to US-Spain imports and exports. Bans or embargoes which apply only to a limited subset of U.S.-Spain trade, or tariffs, sanctions, or other punitive trade measures which do not constitute a comprehensive ban on imports or exports between the US and Spain, will not count.

A qualifying ban which is ordered, enacted, or announced within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when it is scheduled to be implemented or if it is blocked or invalidated prior to implementation.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$207,565
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action (including executive orders, proclamations, and memoranda) that orders, directs, or enacts a comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement, made within this market’s timeframe, from the Trump Administration that a concrete policy to comprehensively ban imports and exports between the US and Spain will definitively be implemented, without such legislation or executive action, will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. Such an announcement must be tied to a specific policy or set of actions being implemented; mere public statements that a ban will be implemented will not qualify. A comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain is defined as any trade ban or embargo that applies broadly to imports and exports between the US and Spain. Limited exceptions for certain categories of imports and exports will not disqualify a ban from counting, provided the ban applies generally to US-Spain imports and exports. Bans or embargoes which apply only to a limited subset of U.S.-Spain trade, or tariffs, sanctions, or other punitive trade measures which do not constitute a comprehensive ban on imports or exports between the US and Spain, will not count. A qualifying ban which is ordered, enacted, or announced within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when it is scheduled to be implemented or if it is blocked or invalidated prior to implementation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action (including executive orders, proclamations, and memoranda) that orders, directs, or enacts a comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement, made within this market’s timeframe, from the Trump Administration that a concrete policy to comprehensively ban imports and exports between the US and Spain will definitively be implemented, without such legislation or executive action, will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. Such an announcement must be tied to a specific policy or set of actions being implemented; mere public statements that a ban will be implemented will not qualify.

A comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain is defined as any trade ban or embargo that applies broadly to imports and exports between the US and Spain. Limited exceptions for certain categories of imports and exports will not disqualify a ban from counting, provided the ban applies generally to US-Spain imports and exports. Bans or embargoes which apply only to a limited subset of U.S.-Spain trade, or tariffs, sanctions, or other punitive trade measures which do not constitute a comprehensive ban on imports or exports between the US and Spain, will not count.

A qualifying ban which is ordered, enacted, or announced within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when it is scheduled to be implemented or if it is blocked or invalidated prior to implementation.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$207,570
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action (including executive orders, proclamations, and memoranda) that orders, directs, or enacts a comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement, made within this market’s timeframe, from the Trump Administration that a concrete policy to comprehensively ban imports and exports between the US and Spain will definitively be implemented, without such legislation or executive action, will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. Such an announcement must be tied to a specific policy or set of actions being implemented; mere public statements that a ban will be implemented will not qualify. A comprehensive ban on imports and exports between the United States and Spain is defined as any trade ban or embargo that applies broadly to imports and exports between the US and Spain. Limited exceptions for certain categories of imports and exports will not disqualify a ban from counting, provided the ban applies generally to US-Spain imports and exports. Bans or embargoes which apply only to a limited subset of U.S.-Spain trade, or tariffs, sanctions, or other punitive trade measures which do not constitute a comprehensive ban on imports or exports between the US and Spain, will not count. A qualifying ban which is ordered, enacted, or announced within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when it is scheduled to be implemented or if it is blocked or invalidated prior to implementation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普会切断与西班牙的贸易吗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"特朗普会切断与西班牙的贸易吗?",概率为 2%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 2¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 2%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"特朗普会切断与西班牙的贸易吗?"已产生 $207.6K 的总交易量(自Mar 3, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"特朗普会切断与西班牙的贸易吗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"特朗普会切断与西班牙的贸易吗?"的当前领先者是"特朗普会切断与西班牙的贸易吗?",仅有 2%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"特朗普会切断与西班牙的贸易吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。