Jay Feely leads the Republican primary for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District with 78% implied probability, driven by his Trump endorsement, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, and National Republican Congressional Committee support through its MAGA Majority program. State Representative Joseph Chaplik trails at 19% after resigning his legislative seat to focus on the race; recent Axios reporting on a campaign clash over Haiti and immigration has highlighted vulnerabilities, including his record of missed votes. The July 21 primary remains weeks away, leaving room for shifts from additional endorsements, debate performances, or further fundraising disclosures among the field of lesser-supported candidates.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডজে ফিলি 78%
Joseph Chaplik 12.9%
মুচেল উজেনতি-রিটা <1%
জন ট্রোবো <1%
$424,487 Vol.
$424,487 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
জে ফিলি
78%
Joseph Chaplik
18%
মুচেল উজেনতি-রিটা
1%
জন ট্রোবো
1%
ব্র্যান্ডন সোয়ার্স
<1%
জেসন ডিউয়ি
<1%
ম্যাট গ্রেস
<1%
টড গ্রাহাম
<1%
কারি লেক
<1%
ডেরিক গালেগো
<1%
জিনা সোয়োবোডা
<1%
কাই틀িন প্যারিংটন
<1%
পল রিভস
<1%
জে ফিলি 78%
Joseph Chaplik 12.9%
মুচেল উজেনতি-রিটা <1%
জন ট্রোবো <1%
$424,487 Vol.
$424,487 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
জে ফিলি
$8,407 Vol.
78%
Joseph Chaplik
$10,601 Vol.
18%
মুচেল উজেনতি-রিটা
$5,231 Vol.
1%
জন ট্রোবো
$3,940 Vol.
1%
ব্র্যান্ডন সোয়ার্স
$11,495 Vol.
<1%
জেসন ডিউয়ি
$3,248 Vol.
<1%
ম্যাট গ্রেস
$48,962 Vol.
<1%
টড গ্রাহাম
$8,074 Vol.
<1%
কারি লেক
$7,614 Vol.
<1%
ডেরিক গালেগো
$3,928 Vol.
<1%
জিনা সোয়োবোডা
$5,092 Vol.
<1%
কাই틀িন প্যারিংটন
$10,716 Vol.
<1%
পল রিভস
$223,238 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jay Feely leads the Republican primary for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District with 78% implied probability, driven by his Trump endorsement, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, and National Republican Congressional Committee support through its MAGA Majority program. State Representative Joseph Chaplik trails at 19% after resigning his legislative seat to focus on the race; recent Axios reporting on a campaign clash over Haiti and immigration has highlighted vulnerabilities, including his record of missed votes. The July 21 primary remains weeks away, leaving room for shifts from additional endorsements, debate performances, or further fundraising disclosures among the field of lesser-supported candidates.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET
ভলিউম
$424,487শেষ তারিখ
Aug 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jay Feely leads the Republican primary for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District with 78% implied probability, driven by his Trump endorsement, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, and National Republican Congressional Committee support through its MAGA Majority program. State Representative Joseph Chaplik trails at 19% after resigning his legislative seat to focus on the race; recent Axios reporting on a campaign clash over Haiti and immigration has highlighted vulnerabilities, including his record of missed votes. The July 21 primary remains weeks away, leaving room for shifts from additional endorsements, debate performances, or further fundraising disclosures among the field of lesser-supported candidates.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ভলিউম
$424,487শেষ তারিখ
Aug 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jay Feely leads the Republican primary for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District with 78% implied probability, driven by his Trump endorsement, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, and National Republican Congressional Committee support through its MAGA Majority program. State Representative Joseph Chaplik trails at 19% after resigning his legislative seat to focus on the race; recent Axios reporting on a campaign clash over Haiti and immigration has highlighted vulnerabilities, including his record of missed votes. The July 21 primary remains weeks away, leaving room for shifts from additional endorsements, debate performances, or further fundraising disclosures among the field of lesser-supported candidates.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা