Former NFL kicker and Trump-endorsed Jay Feely leads trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability for the AZ-01 Republican primary on July 21, driven by his dominant Q1 fundraising haul of $742,000—outraising rivals and even combined Democratic contenders—as reported in recent FEC filings. His high name recognition, January Trump endorsement alongside Gina Swoboda, and March ballot qualification with double-required signatures have solidified frontrunner status in this open seat race vacated by Rep. David Schweikert's gubernatorial bid. State Rep. Joseph Chaplik, at 11.1%, gains from February resignation to focus full-time but trails amid Feely's momentum; John Trobough and Jason Duey follow with modest support from grassroots efforts. No public GOP primary polls exist, but odds reflect skin-in-the-game bets on Feely's path in the battleground district.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডJay Feely 70%
Joseph Chaplik 9.0%
John Trobough 7.3%
Todd Graham 5.5%
$380,497 Vol.
$380,497 Vol.
Jay Feely
70%
Joseph Chaplik
9%
John Trobough
7%
Todd Graham
5%
Gina Swoboda
3%
Mark Brnovich
1%
Kari Lake
1%
Jason Duey
6%
Matt Gress
1%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita
1%
Kaitlin Purrington
1%
Derrick Gallego
<1%
Paul Reevs
<1%
Brandon Sowers
<1%
Jay Feely 70%
Joseph Chaplik 9.0%
John Trobough 7.3%
Todd Graham 5.5%
$380,497 Vol.
$380,497 Vol.
Jay Feely
70%
Joseph Chaplik
9%
John Trobough
7%
Todd Graham
5%
Gina Swoboda
3%
Mark Brnovich
1%
Kari Lake
1%
Jason Duey
6%
Matt Gress
1%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita
1%
Kaitlin Purrington
1%
Derrick Gallego
<1%
Paul Reevs
<1%
Brandon Sowers
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former NFL kicker and Trump-endorsed Jay Feely leads trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability for the AZ-01 Republican primary on July 21, driven by his dominant Q1 fundraising haul of $742,000—outraising rivals and even combined Democratic contenders—as reported in recent FEC filings. His high name recognition, January Trump endorsement alongside Gina Swoboda, and March ballot qualification with double-required signatures have solidified frontrunner status in this open seat race vacated by Rep. David Schweikert's gubernatorial bid. State Rep. Joseph Chaplik, at 11.1%, gains from February resignation to focus full-time but trails amid Feely's momentum; John Trobough and Jason Duey follow with modest support from grassroots efforts. No public GOP primary polls exist, but odds reflect skin-in-the-game bets on Feely's path in the battleground district.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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