Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera leads Colima’s 2027 gubernatorial market at 81% implied probability after Morena designated her coordinator of the Defensa de la Transformación in late August 2026, following internal surveys where she topped preferences by double digits over rivals such as Gricelda Valencia de la Mora and Joel Padilla Peña. As former Manzanillo mayor and state economic development secretary, Bayardo benefits from the ruling coalition’s (Morena-PT-PVEM) structural advantage in a state where the incumbent cannot seek reelection and recent head-to-head polling shows the alliance ahead of PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano options. Lower-priced contenders including Riult Rivera Gutiérrez (PAN) and Griselda Martínez Martínez (MC) trail due to fragmented opposition support and limited recent momentum. The current trader consensus reflects these party-structure and polling dynamics one year before the vote.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRosa María Bayardo Cabrera 81%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 8.1%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos 4.0%
Griselda Martínez Martínez 3.1%
$37,347 Vol.
$37,347 Vol.
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
81%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
8%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos
4%
Griselda Martínez Martínez
3%
Margarita Moreno González
3%
Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
2%
María Cristina Lupien
2%
Mario Delgado Carrillo
1%
Joel Padilla Peña
1%
Mely Romero Celis
1%
José Israel González
1%
Enrique Rojas Orozco
1%
Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
1%
Viridiana Valencia Vargas
1%
Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
1%
Sofía Peralta Ferro
1%
Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
1%
César Yáñez Centeno
<1%
Hilda Lizette Moreno
<1%
José Manuel Romero Coello
<1%
Esther Gutiérrez
<1%
Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
<1%
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 81%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 8.1%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos 4.0%
Griselda Martínez Martínez 3.1%
$37,347 Vol.
$37,347 Vol.
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
81%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
8%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos
4%
Griselda Martínez Martínez
3%
Margarita Moreno González
3%
Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
2%
María Cristina Lupien
2%
Mario Delgado Carrillo
1%
Joel Padilla Peña
1%
Mely Romero Celis
1%
José Israel González
1%
Enrique Rojas Orozco
1%
Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
1%
Viridiana Valencia Vargas
1%
Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
1%
Sofía Peralta Ferro
1%
Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
1%
César Yáñez Centeno
<1%
Hilda Lizette Moreno
<1%
José Manuel Romero Coello
<1%
Esther Gutiérrez
<1%
Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera leads Colima’s 2027 gubernatorial market at 81% implied probability after Morena designated her coordinator of the Defensa de la Transformación in late August 2026, following internal surveys where she topped preferences by double digits over rivals such as Gricelda Valencia de la Mora and Joel Padilla Peña. As former Manzanillo mayor and state economic development secretary, Bayardo benefits from the ruling coalition’s (Morena-PT-PVEM) structural advantage in a state where the incumbent cannot seek reelection and recent head-to-head polling shows the alliance ahead of PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano options. Lower-priced contenders including Riult Rivera Gutiérrez (PAN) and Griselda Martínez Martínez (MC) trail due to fragmented opposition support and limited recent momentum. The current trader consensus reflects these party-structure and polling dynamics one year before the vote.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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