Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability in Florida's 24th Congressional District House race, driven by longtime incumbent Rep. Frederica S. Wilson's entrenched position in this Solid Democratic seat with a D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index. The district, spanning diverse Broward and Miami-Dade areas, has delivered Wilson general election margins of 68-75% in recent cycles, including 68% over Republican Jesus Navarro in 2024, amid weak GOP opposition. No major Republican challengers have emerged ahead of the April 24 filing deadline, bolstering her frontrunner status despite her age placing her on retirement watch lists. Potential shifts could arise from a Wilson retirement announcement, a credible GOP recruit post-filing, national midterm dynamics favoring Republicans, or primary surprises on August 18.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFL-24 House Election Winner
FL-24 House Election Winner
$15,296 Vol.
$15,296 Vol.
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$15,296 Vol.
$15,296 Vol.
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability in Florida's 24th Congressional District House race, driven by longtime incumbent Rep. Frederica S. Wilson's entrenched position in this Solid Democratic seat with a D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index. The district, spanning diverse Broward and Miami-Dade areas, has delivered Wilson general election margins of 68-75% in recent cycles, including 68% over Republican Jesus Navarro in 2024, amid weak GOP opposition. No major Republican challengers have emerged ahead of the April 24 filing deadline, bolstering her frontrunner status despite her age placing her on retirement watch lists. Potential shifts could arise from a Wilson retirement announcement, a credible GOP recruit post-filing, national midterm dynamics favoring Republicans, or primary surprises on August 18.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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