The stalled implementation of the US-brokered Comprehensive Plan under UN Security Council Resolution 2803 continues to shape expectations around foreign stabilization efforts in Gaza. A ceasefire has held since October 2025 with all hostages released, yet Phase Two progress—encompassing Hamas disarmament, Israeli withdrawal from expanded buffer zones, and deployment of the International Stabilization Force (ISF)—remains blocked. The Board of Peace has advanced planning for the National Committee for the Administration of Gaza and secured troop pledges from several nations for the ISF, with a limited pilot approved in July 2026. Full deployment requires Israeli status-of-forces agreements and verified decommissioning of weapons, conditions that have not been met. Ongoing Israeli strikes targeting Hamas figures, persistent displacement, and recent infrastructure failures underscore the fragile security environment, while upcoming Israeli elections add further uncertainty to approval timelines.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডUgandan parliament approves deployment of troops to Gaza as part of international stabilization force
December 31 jumps to 28%10%
Uganda's parliamentary approval to send troops to Gaza signaled growing international commitment to the peacekeeping mission, leading to a rise in market optimism for foreign intervention by the December 31 outcome, despite no actual deployment yet.
Israeli airstrikes continue in Gaza amid ongoing conflict and no foreign intervention
September 30 dips to 1%1%
Israeli military operations, including airstrikes causing significant casualties, continued in Gaza without any foreign peacekeepers or military personnel entering the territory. This reinforced market expectations of no foreign intervention by the September 30 deadline, contributing to price declines.




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