Ongoing delays in deploying the International Stabilization Force (ISF) under the US-led Board of Peace plan remain the central driver of trader views on foreign intervention in Gaza. Israel approved limited ISF entry in July 2026, with initial contributions pledged by Morocco, Albania, Kosovo, and others, yet full deployment awaits further approvals, a Status of Forces Agreement, and verified Hamas disarmament. Recent Israeli strikes targeting Hamas figures, including engineers and commanders in September 2026, alongside civilian casualties and displacement, underscore persistent security challenges. A fragile October 2025 ceasefire continues with limited progress on the National Committee for the Administration of Gaza assuming governance. Upcoming Israeli elections on October 27, 2026, and BRICS statements opposing displacement add layers of uncertainty to any near-term expansion of multinational forces.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIsraeli airstrikes continue in Gaza amid ongoing conflict and no foreign intervention
September 30 dips to 1%1%
Israeli military operations, including airstrikes causing significant casualties, continued in Gaza without any foreign peacekeepers or military personnel entering the territory. This reinforced market expectations of no foreign intervention by the September 30 deadline, contributing to price declines.
Ugandan parliament approves deployment of troops to Gaza as part of international stabilization force
December 31 rises to 21%2%
Uganda's parliamentary approval to send troops to Gaza signaled growing international commitment to the peacekeeping mission, leading to a rise in market optimism for foreign intervention by the December 31 outcome, despite no actual deployment yet.




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