A military-led transitional government in Guinea-Bissau is preparing for presidential and legislative elections on December 6, 2026, following the November 2025 coup that halted certification of disputed results between Fernando Dias da Costa and incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló. The September 2026 constitutional referendum, approved by roughly 70 percent of participants despite an opposition boycott, expanded presidential appointment and dismissal powers while imposing a five-year continuous residency requirement for candidates and shrinking parliament. Trader pricing places Dias da Costa ahead in a fragmented field of over a dozen contenders, reflecting his prior opposition backing and claimed 2025 edge, while Embaló trails amid his ouster. Consolidation behind any single name will likely depend on military positioning, opposition coordination under the new charter, and enforcement of eligibility rules.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডGuinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Fernando Dias da Costa 33.7%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló 9.5%
José Mário Vaz 2.9%
João Bernardo Vieira 1.7%
$339,755 Vol.
$339,755 Vol.
Fernando Dias da Costa
23%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
10%
José Mário Vaz
3%
João Bernardo Vieira
2%
Baciro Djá
2%
Honório Augusto Lopes
2%
João de Deus Mendes
2%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
2%
Mário da Silva Júnior
2%
Siga Batista
2%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
2%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
1%
Fernando Dias da Costa 33.7%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló 9.5%
José Mário Vaz 2.9%
João Bernardo Vieira 1.7%
$339,755 Vol.
$339,755 Vol.
Fernando Dias da Costa
23%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
10%
José Mário Vaz
3%
João Bernardo Vieira
2%
Baciro Djá
2%
Honório Augusto Lopes
2%
João de Deus Mendes
2%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
2%
Mário da Silva Júnior
2%
Siga Batista
2%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
2%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
রেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...A military-led transitional government in Guinea-Bissau is preparing for presidential and legislative elections on December 6, 2026, following the November 2025 coup that halted certification of disputed results between Fernando Dias da Costa and incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló. The September 2026 constitutional referendum, approved by roughly 70 percent of participants despite an opposition boycott, expanded presidential appointment and dismissal powers while imposing a five-year continuous residency requirement for candidates and shrinking parliament. Trader pricing places Dias da Costa ahead in a fragmented field of over a dozen contenders, reflecting his prior opposition backing and claimed 2025 edge, while Embaló trails amid his ouster. Consolidation behind any single name will likely depend on military positioning, opposition coordination under the new charter, and enforcement of eligibility rules.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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