Latest ensemble forecasts from global models and the South African Weather Service indicate a mild spring day for Cape Town on September 24, with maximum temperatures likely in the 23–26°C range driven by moderate southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover moderating daytime heating. This places the outcome above the long-term September average maximum of 18–19°C but below recent unseasonably warm readings near 29–32°C on September 22. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5% implied probability for 27°C or higher, incorporates remaining model spread and potential for brief warm advection ahead of an approaching frontal system, while lower outcomes capture the risk of increased marine influence or cloud buildup. Updated model runs expected within 24–48 hours will refine land-sea breeze and boundary-layer details critical to resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 24?
27°C or higher 37%
25°C 21%
24°C 19%
26°C 18%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
19%
25°C
21%
26°C
18%
27°C or higher
37%
27°C or higher 37%
25°C 21%
24°C 19%
26°C 18%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
19%
25°C
21%
26°C
18%
27°C or higher
37%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models and the South African Weather Service indicate a mild spring day for Cape Town on September 24, with maximum temperatures likely in the 23–26°C range driven by moderate southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover moderating daytime heating. This places the outcome above the long-term September average maximum of 18–19°C but below recent unseasonably warm readings near 29–32°C on September 22. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5% implied probability for 27°C or higher, incorporates remaining model spread and potential for brief warm advection ahead of an approaching frontal system, while lower outcomes capture the risk of increased marine influence or cloud buildup. Updated model runs expected within 24–48 hours will refine land-sea breeze and boundary-layer details critical to resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা