Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to daytime highs near Chicago's July normal of 84–85°F on July 7, after the early-month heat wave, with scattered clouds and a possible lake breeze moderating peak readings. This produces the tight market split favoring the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins at 30.0% and 28.5% implied probability, respectively, while lower and higher outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or onshore flow. Official highs are measured at Midway Airport, where small shifts in wind direction or insolation can move the daily maximum across bin boundaries. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely drive final resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chicago on July 7?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 7?
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$57,886 Vol.
$57,886 Vol.
Jul 7, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$57,886 Vol.
$57,886 Vol.
Jul 7, 2026
73°F or below
$3,886 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$3,865 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$3,113 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$2,533 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$4,687 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$9,379 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$10,457 Vol.
Yes
86-87°F
$6,710 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$4,704 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$3,429 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$5,122 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to daytime highs near Chicago's July normal of 84–85°F on July 7, after the early-month heat wave, with scattered clouds and a possible lake breeze moderating peak readings. This produces the tight market split favoring the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins at 30.0% and 28.5% implied probability, respectively, while lower and higher outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or onshore flow. Official highs are measured at Midway Airport, where small shifts in wind direction or insolation can move the daily maximum across bin boundaries. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely drive final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ভলিউম
$57,886শেষ তারিখ
Jul 7, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to daytime highs near Chicago's July normal of 84–85°F on July 7, after the early-month heat wave, with scattered clouds and a possible lake breeze moderating peak readings. This produces the tight market split favoring the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins at 30.0% and 28.5% implied probability, respectively, while lower and higher outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or onshore flow. Official highs are measured at Midway Airport, where small shifts in wind direction or insolation can move the daily maximum across bin boundaries. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely drive final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$57,886শেষ তারিখ
Jul 7, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to daytime highs near Chicago's July normal of 84–85°F on July 7, after the early-month heat wave, with scattered clouds and a possible lake breeze moderating peak readings. This produces the tight market split favoring the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins at 30.0% and 28.5% implied probability, respectively, while lower and higher outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or onshore flow. Official highs are measured at Midway Airport, where small shifts in wind direction or insolation can move the daily maximum across bin boundaries. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will likely drive final resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা