**Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover forecast for Chongqing on September 21 are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 23–24°C.** Multiple numerical weather models show a system delivering light-to-moderate rain and overcast skies through the day, which reduces incoming solar radiation and caps daytime warming. This contrasts with climatological September highs near 27–28°C under clearer conditions. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing and intensity of precipitation, boundary-layer moisture, and any breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming spikes. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily, with the tight distribution between 23°C and 24°C reflecting genuine uncertainty in model guidance on maximum temperature resolution just two days out. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data will likely refine these probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 21?
23°C 31%
24°C 26%
25°C 16%
22°C 12%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
10%
21°C
10%
22°C
12%
23°C
31%
24°C
26%
25°C
16%
26°C
8%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
3%
23°C 31%
24°C 26%
25°C 16%
22°C 12%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
10%
21°C
10%
22°C
12%
23°C
31%
24°C
26%
25°C
16%
26°C
8%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover forecast for Chongqing on September 21 are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 23–24°C.** Multiple numerical weather models show a system delivering light-to-moderate rain and overcast skies through the day, which reduces incoming solar radiation and caps daytime warming. This contrasts with climatological September highs near 27–28°C under clearer conditions. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing and intensity of precipitation, boundary-layer moisture, and any breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming spikes. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily, with the tight distribution between 23°C and 24°C reflecting genuine uncertainty in model guidance on maximum temperature resolution just two days out. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data will likely refine these probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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