**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and high humidity from a regional weather system are keeping overnight temperatures in Chongqing from dropping sharply on September 21.** Official and model forecasts converge on a daily minimum near 21°C, with hourly readings holding in the 21–23°C range amid light winds, saturated air (humidity often 85–100%), and ongoing precipitation that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s strong 84% implied probability for 21°C as the low. Secondary factors include the lack of a strong cold-air intrusion or clear-sky window that could allow greater nocturnal temperature falls; climatologically, mid-to-late September in the region typically features moderating conditions rather than sharp drops. Recent model consensus and surface observations show no revisions toward cooler outcomes, supporting the elevated probabilities for 19–21°C while keeping lower thresholds (16°C or below) at lower implied odds. Updated forecasts or clearing trends before midnight would be the main variables that could shift sentiment.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 21?
21°C 97%
18°C 73%
17°C 71%
19°C 62%
16°C or below
60%
17°C
71%
18°C
73%
19°C
62%
20°C
11%
21°C
84%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 97%
18°C 73%
17°C 71%
19°C 62%
16°C or below
60%
17°C
71%
18°C
73%
19°C
62%
20°C
11%
21°C
84%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and high humidity from a regional weather system are keeping overnight temperatures in Chongqing from dropping sharply on September 21.** Official and model forecasts converge on a daily minimum near 21°C, with hourly readings holding in the 21–23°C range amid light winds, saturated air (humidity often 85–100%), and ongoing precipitation that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s strong 84% implied probability for 21°C as the low. Secondary factors include the lack of a strong cold-air intrusion or clear-sky window that could allow greater nocturnal temperature falls; climatologically, mid-to-late September in the region typically features moderating conditions rather than sharp drops. Recent model consensus and surface observations show no revisions toward cooler outcomes, supporting the elevated probabilities for 19–21°C while keeping lower thresholds (16°C or below) at lower implied odds. Updated forecasts or clearing trends before midnight would be the main variables that could shift sentiment.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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