**Forecast consensus positions 15°C as the clear market favorite for Wellington’s maximum temperature on September 21, 2026.** Multiple official and international sources, including MetService guidance and global models, converge on a daytime high of 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies with strengthening northerly winds. This setup favors mild advection of warmer air from the north, keeping readings a degree or two above the long-term September average maximum of roughly 12.5–14°C while remaining below thresholds for stronger warming. Key scientific drivers include the expected wind shift and timing of peak insolation. Northerlies are forecast to strengthen through the morning, with gusty conditions limiting radiative cooling overnight and supporting a modest afternoon rise. No significant cloud cover or precipitation is anticipated to suppress temperatures, and model spreads remain tight around the 14–15°C mark. A modest probability mass on 16°C reflects the small chance of slightly stronger northerly flow or localized warming effects, while the low odds on 14°C or below capture downside risks if southerly influences arrive earlier than expected. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble runs from MetService and global centers most heavily, given the short forecast horizon and resolution criteria tied to official station observations. With resolution imminent, the market-implied distribution closely tracks the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on September 21?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 21?
15°C 68%
16°C 26%
14°C 7%
17°C 2%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 21, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
7%
15°C
68%
16°C
26%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 68%
16°C 26%
14°C 7%
17°C 2%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 21, 2026
10°C or below
$839 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$284 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$378 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,427 Vol.
7%
15°C
$3,717 Vol.
68%
16°C
$1,400 Vol.
26%
17°C
$289 Vol.
2%
18°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$338 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$462 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus positions 15°C as the clear market favorite for Wellington’s maximum temperature on September 21, 2026.** Multiple official and international sources, including MetService guidance and global models, converge on a daytime high of 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies with strengthening northerly winds. This setup favors mild advection of warmer air from the north, keeping readings a degree or two above the long-term September average maximum of roughly 12.5–14°C while remaining below thresholds for stronger warming.
Key scientific drivers include the expected wind shift and timing of peak insolation. Northerlies are forecast to strengthen through the morning, with gusty conditions limiting radiative cooling overnight and supporting a modest afternoon rise. No significant cloud cover or precipitation is anticipated to suppress temperatures, and model spreads remain tight around the 14–15°C mark. A modest probability mass on 16°C reflects the small chance of slightly stronger northerly flow or localized warming effects, while the low odds on 14°C or below capture downside risks if southerly influences arrive earlier than expected.
Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble runs from MetService and global centers most heavily, given the short forecast horizon and resolution criteria tied to official station observations. With resolution imminent, the market-implied distribution closely tracks the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$9,427শেষ তারিখ
Sep 21, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus positions 15°C as the clear market favorite for Wellington’s maximum temperature on September 21, 2026.** Multiple official and international sources, including MetService guidance and global models, converge on a daytime high of 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies with strengthening northerly winds. This setup favors mild advection of warmer air from the north, keeping readings a degree or two above the long-term September average maximum of roughly 12.5–14°C while remaining below thresholds for stronger warming.
Key scientific drivers include the expected wind shift and timing of peak insolation. Northerlies are forecast to strengthen through the morning, with gusty conditions limiting radiative cooling overnight and supporting a modest afternoon rise. No significant cloud cover or precipitation is anticipated to suppress temperatures, and model spreads remain tight around the 14–15°C mark. A modest probability mass on 16°C reflects the small chance of slightly stronger northerly flow or localized warming effects, while the low odds on 14°C or below capture downside risks if southerly influences arrive earlier than expected.
Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble runs from MetService and global centers most heavily, given the short forecast horizon and resolution criteria tied to official station observations. With resolution imminent, the market-implied distribution closely tracks the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$9,427শেষ তারিখ
Sep 21, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus positions 15°C as the clear market favorite for Wellington’s maximum temperature on September 21, 2026.** Multiple official and international sources, including MetService guidance and global models, converge on a daytime high of 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies with strengthening northerly winds. This setup favors mild advection of warmer air from the north, keeping readings a degree or two above the long-term September average maximum of roughly 12.5–14°C while remaining below thresholds for stronger warming. Key scientific drivers include the expected wind shift and timing of peak insolation. Northerlies are forecast to strengthen through the morning, with gusty conditions limiting radiative cooling overnight and supporting a modest afternoon rise. No significant cloud cover or precipitation is anticipated to suppress temperatures, and model spreads remain tight around the 14–15°C mark. A modest probability mass on 16°C reflects the small chance of slightly stronger northerly flow or localized warming effects, while the low odds on 14°C or below capture downside risks if southerly influences arrive earlier than expected. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble runs from MetService and global centers most heavily, given the short forecast horizon and resolution criteria tied to official station observations. With resolution imminent, the market-implied distribution closely tracks the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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