Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF project a maximum of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 21 under mostly clear skies, light northwest winds, and low humidity. These conditions align with late-September climatology, where afternoon peaks often reach the low 30s before cooling in the evening. The market’s 53.5% implied probability on 31°C and 28.5% on 30°C mirrors this narrow forecast range, with traders assigning limited odds to outliers given stable steering patterns and minimal model spread. Official observations from the Tel Aviv station will determine final resolution, with no additional major updates expected before sunset.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 21?
31°C 54%
30°C 29%
32°C 11.1%
27°C or below 3.5%
$39,495 Vol.
$39,495 Vol.
27°C or below
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
29%
31°C
54%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 54%
30°C 29%
32°C 11.1%
27°C or below 3.5%
$39,495 Vol.
$39,495 Vol.
27°C or below
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
29%
31°C
54%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF project a maximum of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on September 21 under mostly clear skies, light northwest winds, and low humidity. These conditions align with late-September climatology, where afternoon peaks often reach the low 30s before cooling in the evening. The market’s 53.5% implied probability on 31°C and 28.5% on 30°C mirrors this narrow forecast range, with traders assigning limited odds to outliers given stable steering patterns and minimal model spread. Official observations from the Tel Aviv station will determine final resolution, with no additional major updates expected before sunset.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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