Recent Hong Kong Observatory outlooks and numerical weather models indicate mainly fine conditions with weak steering flow and moderate humidity for August 10, supporting daytime maxima near 34–35°C amid the urban heat island effect. These factors explain the near-even market split between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for 36°C or above reflecting limited intensification potential from cloud cover or isolated showers. Official forecasts show slight model divergence on peak solar heating and boundary-layer moisture, while the seasonal signal of above-normal temperatures provides broader context. The final HKO maximum reading, measured at the King’s Park reference station, will resolve the contract, and traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and any updates on convective timing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
34°C 35%
35°C 34%
36°C 14%
33°C 10%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
10%
34°C
35%
35°C
34%
36°C
14%
37°C
7%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 35%
35°C 34%
36°C 14%
33°C 10%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
10%
34°C
35%
35°C
34%
36°C
14%
37°C
7%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory outlooks and numerical weather models indicate mainly fine conditions with weak steering flow and moderate humidity for August 10, supporting daytime maxima near 34–35°C amid the urban heat island effect. These factors explain the near-even market split between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for 36°C or above reflecting limited intensification potential from cloud cover or isolated showers. Official forecasts show slight model divergence on peak solar heating and boundary-layer moisture, while the seasonal signal of above-normal temperatures provides broader context. The final HKO maximum reading, measured at the King’s Park reference station, will resolve the contract, and traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and any updates on convective timing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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