Official observational data from Turkey's Meteorology General Directorate (MGM) stations in Istanbul, including Atatürk Airport and Florya, confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, peaked at 14°C during the 06:00–18:00 UTC period, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent northerly flows and extensive cloud cover amid a lingering cool air mass kept daytime highs below seasonal April norms of 15–17°C, consistent with recent forecasts from MGM and European models showing suppressed solar heating. Trader consensus reflects this verified measurement, with skin-in-the-game bets aligning on ground-truth data. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data audits revealing a overlooked micro-peak above 14°C at a secondary station, though such revisions are exceedingly rare after initial reporting.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 18?
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$53,055 Vol.
$53,055 Vol.
Apr 18, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$53,055 Vol.
$53,055 Vol.
Apr 18, 2026
9°C or below
$944 Vol.
No
10°C
$1,156 Vol.
No
11°C
$2,535 Vol.
No
12°C
$7,131 Vol.
No
13°C
$10,134 Vol.
No
14°C
$11,892 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$9,534 Vol.
No
16°C
$4,382 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,112 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,694 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$1,540 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Turkey's Meteorology General Directorate (MGM) stations in Istanbul, including Atatürk Airport and Florya, confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, peaked at 14°C during the 06:00–18:00 UTC period, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent northerly flows and extensive cloud cover amid a lingering cool air mass kept daytime highs below seasonal April norms of 15–17°C, consistent with recent forecasts from MGM and European models showing suppressed solar heating. Trader consensus reflects this verified measurement, with skin-in-the-game bets aligning on ground-truth data. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data audits revealing a overlooked micro-peak above 14°C at a secondary station, though such revisions are exceedingly rare after initial reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ET
ভলিউম
$53,055শেষ তারিখ
Apr 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Turkey's Meteorology General Directorate (MGM) stations in Istanbul, including Atatürk Airport and Florya, confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, peaked at 14°C during the 06:00–18:00 UTC period, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent northerly flows and extensive cloud cover amid a lingering cool air mass kept daytime highs below seasonal April norms of 15–17°C, consistent with recent forecasts from MGM and European models showing suppressed solar heating. Trader consensus reflects this verified measurement, with skin-in-the-game bets aligning on ground-truth data. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data audits revealing a overlooked micro-peak above 14°C at a secondary station, though such revisions are exceedingly rare after initial reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$53,055শেষ তারিখ
Apr 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Official observational data from Turkey's Meteorology General Directorate (MGM) stations in Istanbul, including Atatürk Airport and Florya, confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, peaked at 14°C during the 06:00–18:00 UTC period, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent northerly flows and extensive cloud cover amid a lingering cool air mass kept daytime highs below seasonal April norms of 15–17°C, consistent with recent forecasts from MGM and European models showing suppressed solar heating. Trader consensus reflects this verified measurement, with skin-in-the-game bets aligning on ground-truth data. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data audits revealing a overlooked micro-peak above 14°C at a secondary station, though such revisions are exceedingly rare after initial reporting.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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