Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 2, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 38–39°C under hot, dry conditions with occasional winds. This positioning aligns with strong model agreement from the UK Met Office (39°C maximum) and AccuWeather, amid an ongoing mild heatwave in Sindh through May 3, featuring persistent high pressure, clear skies, and reduced humidity that amplify solar heating beyond May's typical 35°C average. Observational trends from PMD stations show early daytime temperatures already climbing rapidly. Realistic challenges include unforeseen sea breeze intensification or dust storms scattering sunlight, though steering patterns and forecast consensus render these improbable; watch PMD's evening update for final confirmation ahead of resolution based on official airport readings.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Karachi on May 2?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 2?
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$30,150 Vol.
$30,150 Vol.
May 2, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
Yes
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$30,150 Vol.
$30,150 Vol.
May 2, 2026
29°C or below
$2,007 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,063 Vol.
No
31°C
$617 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,695 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,375 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,937 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,515 Vol.
No
36°C
$2,494 Vol.
No
37°C
$2,377 Vol.
No
38°C
$5,011 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$5,058 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 2, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 38–39°C under hot, dry conditions with occasional winds. This positioning aligns with strong model agreement from the UK Met Office (39°C maximum) and AccuWeather, amid an ongoing mild heatwave in Sindh through May 3, featuring persistent high pressure, clear skies, and reduced humidity that amplify solar heating beyond May's typical 35°C average. Observational trends from PMD stations show early daytime temperatures already climbing rapidly. Realistic challenges include unforeseen sea breeze intensification or dust storms scattering sunlight, though steering patterns and forecast consensus render these improbable; watch PMD's evening update for final confirmation ahead of resolution based on official airport readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 30, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
ভলিউম
$30,150শেষ তারিখ
May 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 30, 2026, 12:37 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 2, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 38–39°C under hot, dry conditions with occasional winds. This positioning aligns with strong model agreement from the UK Met Office (39°C maximum) and AccuWeather, amid an ongoing mild heatwave in Sindh through May 3, featuring persistent high pressure, clear skies, and reduced humidity that amplify solar heating beyond May's typical 35°C average. Observational trends from PMD stations show early daytime temperatures already climbing rapidly. Realistic challenges include unforeseen sea breeze intensification or dust storms scattering sunlight, though steering patterns and forecast consensus render these improbable; watch PMD's evening update for final confirmation ahead of resolution based on official airport readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$30,150শেষ তারিখ
May 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 30, 2026, 12:37 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 2, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 38–39°C under hot, dry conditions with occasional winds. This positioning aligns with strong model agreement from the UK Met Office (39°C maximum) and AccuWeather, amid an ongoing mild heatwave in Sindh through May 3, featuring persistent high pressure, clear skies, and reduced humidity that amplify solar heating beyond May's typical 35°C average. Observational trends from PMD stations show early daytime temperatures already climbing rapidly. Realistic challenges include unforeseen sea breeze intensification or dust storms scattering sunlight, though steering patterns and forecast consensus render these improbable; watch PMD's evening update for final confirmation ahead of resolution based on official airport readings.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা