**Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a maximum temperature near 86–89°F at the primary Los Angeles station (LAX/CLILAX) used for settlement, driving the market’s concentration on the 86–87°F (40%) and 88–89°F (28%) bins.** A persistent high-pressure ridge over the Southwest has sustained above-normal temperatures across Southern California, with downtown Los Angeles recently reaching 98–101°F amid the season’s strongest heat wave. Coastal moderation from the marine layer and southwest sea breezes, however, has kept LAX highs closer to the low-to-mid 80s on recent days, and the latest short-range forecasts maintain this pattern for August 28 with highs in the mid-to-upper 80s under partly cloudy skies and light onshore flow. The 84–85°F bin (17.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in the strength of the sea breeze or minor model spread, while probabilities drop sharply above 90°F because current guidance shows limited potential for further inland heat advection to reach the coastal observing site. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will be the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 28?
86-87°F 41%
88-89°F 32%
84-85°F 17%
90-91°F 9%
$23,109 Vol.
$23,109 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
41%
88-89°F
32%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 41%
88-89°F 32%
84-85°F 17%
90-91°F 9%
$23,109 Vol.
$23,109 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
41%
88-89°F
32%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a maximum temperature near 86–89°F at the primary Los Angeles station (LAX/CLILAX) used for settlement, driving the market’s concentration on the 86–87°F (40%) and 88–89°F (28%) bins.** A persistent high-pressure ridge over the Southwest has sustained above-normal temperatures across Southern California, with downtown Los Angeles recently reaching 98–101°F amid the season’s strongest heat wave. Coastal moderation from the marine layer and southwest sea breezes, however, has kept LAX highs closer to the low-to-mid 80s on recent days, and the latest short-range forecasts maintain this pattern for August 28 with highs in the mid-to-upper 80s under partly cloudy skies and light onshore flow. The 84–85°F bin (17.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in the strength of the sea breeze or minor model spread, while probabilities drop sharply above 90°F because current guidance shows limited potential for further inland heat advection to reach the coastal observing site. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will be the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা