Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover are moderating daytime heating in Manila, with PAGASA forecasting a 25–28°C range for August 30 amid 100% rain probability and strong southwesterly winds. Multiple models converge on highs near 28–30°C due to reduced insolation from thick cloud decks and evaporative cooling from heavy showers, though urban heat island effects could nudge readings slightly higher. Recent low-pressure influences east of Luzon have sustained the moist flow, limiting any brief clear periods that might allow temperatures to reach 31°C or above. Market pricing clustering at 29–31°C reflects trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and potential model underestimation of localized warming. Updated PAGASA guidance and model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to influence positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Manila on August 30?
30°C 36%
31°C 25%
29°C 18%
28°C 8%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
8%
29°C
18%
30°C
36%
31°C
25%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 36%
31°C 25%
29°C 18%
28°C 8%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
8%
29°C
18%
30°C
36%
31°C
25%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover are moderating daytime heating in Manila, with PAGASA forecasting a 25–28°C range for August 30 amid 100% rain probability and strong southwesterly winds. Multiple models converge on highs near 28–30°C due to reduced insolation from thick cloud decks and evaporative cooling from heavy showers, though urban heat island effects could nudge readings slightly higher. Recent low-pressure influences east of Luzon have sustained the moist flow, limiting any brief clear periods that might allow temperatures to reach 31°C or above. Market pricing clustering at 29–31°C reflects trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and potential model underestimation of localized warming. Updated PAGASA guidance and model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to influence positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা